Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f5ef5b8be925655330f4d56e99f92591643f561d729e32ac765ff549a4596b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 1,139$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 741.87$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over | 50c | 692.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 49c | 576.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.51 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 541.37$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.69 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 67c | 195.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 146.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 77.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 72.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 49c | 34.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 26.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…04d7backed Under | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 173.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 181.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 184.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.