Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca949be97245332d15b7a8a9b03aa558fb7fb63056bbb2e0e9a07aa37e79659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.93 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 6,391$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.68 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 6,123$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 6,105$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.49 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Over | 48c | 3,499$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.05 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 48c | 829.79$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.3 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Over | 47c | 607.44$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 576.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 488.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Over | 48c | 415.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 10c | 286.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Over | 48c | 268.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 260.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 215.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…f75abacked Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 58c | 199.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 54c | 199.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 198.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 48c | 184.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 179.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 174.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 131.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 24c | 119.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 48c | 99.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 93.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 92.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Over | 49c | 91.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 55c | 74.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 58c | 68.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…11e1backed Over | 48c | 63.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…04d7backed Under | 54c | 57.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Under | 55c | 50.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…fb8bbacked Over | 48c | 37.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…92bfbacked Over | 48c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…7432backed Under | 55c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Over | 47c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…70f8backed Over | 48c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed Over | 48c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…126bbacked Under | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Under | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d17…b43fbacked Over | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…06ebbacked Over | 47c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…55cdbacked Under | 53c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 22.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 173.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 181.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 184.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.