Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051a001ee5a16c7c53266f8885fea5163b8a2054cf16ab48069be039503012fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 68c | 1,514$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.23 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…cfe9backed Yes | 48c | 629.56$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 28c | 557.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 40c | 502.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 441.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 33c | 340.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 45c | 314.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 46c | 310.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 58c | 250$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed No | 51c | 227.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 55c | 208$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 49c | 198.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 25c | 196.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 52c | 172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 169.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 37c | 164.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 19c | 162.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 53c | 155$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 129.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…cef7backed Yes | 20c | 128.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 118.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 104.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 100.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…442dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 67c | 99.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…ecb6backed No | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 96.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…2600backed No | 45c | 90.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked No | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 85.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 52c | 84.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed No | 55c | 84.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…4e57backed No | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 78.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…f923backed Yes | 46c | 77.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 55c | 74.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 49c | 61.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 58c | 60.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 19c | 57.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…e280backed Yes | 53c | 56.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 49c | 56.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…bd5dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 79c | 52.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 48c | 51.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 79c | 51.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…3b6dbacked No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…105fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 32c | 46.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…bfd5backed Yes | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked Yes | 23c | 44.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…19ccbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1519…bcb8backed Yes | 45c | 38.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…2e62backed Yes | 49c | 32.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 33c | 31.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 51c | 31.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…666abacked No | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 50c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bc9bbacked No | 54c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 39c | 30.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 57c | 29.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…c495backed No | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 47c | 27.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 54c | 26.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 49c | 24.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…68e2backed Yes | 51c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 71c | 22.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…7c12backed Yes | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 54c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 73c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.