Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82058ce92af166efdc028491d178fab9460345fcc8d1c3beedba99653e93eacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Virginia Cavaliers, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 41c | 6,011$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 5,854$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad7…c55bbacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 5,125$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.15 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 2,460$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.3 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 2,304$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.26 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 1,899$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.72 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 37c | 1,733$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 1,451$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 1,266$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Virginia Cavaliers | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Wright State Raiders | 49c | 809.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 800.45$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers | 33c | 771.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 762.28$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.39 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 734.3$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 701.31$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 701.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Wright State Raiders | 71c | 406.58$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 341.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.61 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Wright State Raiders | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Virginia Cavaliers | 36c | 191.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 149.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 30c | 135.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 112.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Wright State Raiders | 50c | 93.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 89.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 68.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 49.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 49.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 44.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Wright State Raiders | 72c | 43.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Wright State Raiders | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virginia Cavaliers | 32c | 39.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wright State Raiders | 74c | 35.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 32.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virginia Cavaliers | 45c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Wright State Raiders | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Wright State Raiders | 71c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Virginia Cavaliers | 46c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…b54dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 52c | 20.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-17.5)this page
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-12.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-14.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-18.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-6.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-7.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-8.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 154.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 157.5Under won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 160.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.