TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,693 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over51c55,029$28,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,964.2944452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under49c37,845$18,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,670.24540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over50c37,523$18,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,761.6660949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c19,773$9,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,518.112,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c15,436$7,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,483.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c9,913$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.2552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c8,960$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.6925145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over50c7,342$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.9812054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under14c7,166$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4302653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over51c6,330$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.484654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c6,131$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under49c6,096$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9204353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c3,811$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.8139454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under26c3,329$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under49c2,956$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.2113343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under49c2,733$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.115639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under49c2,413$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.3414346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Under50c2,055$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under47c2,049$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96332751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under4c2,045$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Under49c2,023$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.252450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.912445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c1,983$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.86342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under49c1,760$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7418556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7357643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7353751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over51c1,246$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.353441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c1,214$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.7510650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over51c1,139$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0110443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under47c1,010$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.78046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…bdbabacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa957…318bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc4…079fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c973.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c855.46$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.6222043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under48c707.95$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34316147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Over49c637.05$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under51c583.09$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over49c578.23$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.95552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over52c575.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.476636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24037246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under48c490.68$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.524353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under47c489.31$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.983050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over80c444.82$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x741d…07babacked Under47c356.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…d330backed Over54c348.92$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under49c343.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under47c343.78$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.584153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under47c318.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5522954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under40c297.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9944146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c296.06$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4918048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c293.41$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.841,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over51c291.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8627045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under48c289.12$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.783655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over52c285.92$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.245350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under49c281.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.782748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over50c277.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c262.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under49c256.59$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7310458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c246.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.486261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under49c213.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.434355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ba…0b74backed Under47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4027…7982backed Over52c206.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c199.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…0a12backed Under49c199.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under49c198.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under49c198.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.142045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc948…314bbacked Under49c196.78$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under48c186.36$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.457258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c182.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5530152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…25ebbacked Over52c180.64$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f1f…f56ebacked Under49c170.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b06…c83cbacked Over52c163.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under39c160.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7313445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under49c160.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.695959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under49c160.58$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.695457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.88535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed Under49c158.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under48c154.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.345561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c150.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8133058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c149$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c142.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0921850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked Over52c141.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.