TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Flyers, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$726,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$733,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blue Jackets53c395,914$208,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,915.4719848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Flyers37c147,621$54,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,410.1148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flyers48c104,204$50,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,018.049548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets51c50,109$25,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,403.411,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Flyers47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers45c27,551$12,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,397.9556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Flyers49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,25021036.2%76 W · 134 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets54c25,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.9967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers46c24,431$11,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,313.8461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers47c21,190$9,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,959.315949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Flyers47c16,474$7,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,683.361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Flyers47c15,000$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.9612047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Flyers49c14,830$7,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,232.485149%25 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers47c12,500$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers47c11,468$5,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.651,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flyers47c10,233$4,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.852,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Flyers47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blue Jackets55c9,847$5,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,431.0754047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers47c8,501$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.331,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets55c7,589$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.41,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets56c7,566$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.9261748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8601,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Flyers44c5,552$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.8556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers47c5,508$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.6552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Flyers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blue Jackets53c4,866$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.1827243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers47c4,587$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.8830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Flyers47c4,231$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.5193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Flyers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets56c3,863$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.71,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flyers46c3,622$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.9945751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Blue Jackets53c3,500$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.997347.9%35 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Blue Jackets53c3,414$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.5816752.7%88 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flyers46c3,115$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.752,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets52c3,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Blue Jackets55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3504045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers37c2,997$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.3395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Flyers45c2,647$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1919052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf1…71febacked Blue Jackets66c2,450$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers48c2,353$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.5833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03434845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flyers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Flyers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Flyers47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers48c1,969$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers46c1,958$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.681,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Blue Jackets53c1,923$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.7618258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Flyers10c1,909$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.994912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Flyers48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86440049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers21c1,701$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.173,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blue Jackets52c1,662$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.0718547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jackets56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Flyers47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70510848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jackets54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4828152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Blue Jackets57c1,438$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.4732650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Flyers47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0126955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Flyers47c1,318$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.921,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers47c1,266$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Blue Jackets55c1,200$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53912947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flyers15c1,167$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.477354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers30c1,152$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.52,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blue Jackets55c1,100$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3262346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Flyers47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51745749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Flyers48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.919854.1%53 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Flyers47c1,077$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.0738844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets55c1,055$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.7589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Flyers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Blue Jackets55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blue Jackets52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Blue Jackets52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Blue Jackets56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets50c988.24$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Flyers44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39635349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Flyers44c873.98$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5510938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbef7…17c2backed Blue Jackets53c847$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Blue Jackets56c846$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Flyers48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Flyers47c831.42$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2211533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets79c816.93$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Flyers46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers48c749.98$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.241,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers44c737$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2825045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Flyers45c717.78$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Flyers43c692.26$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.675641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers43c649$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1348050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Blue Jackets52c599.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28653546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets73c584.27$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.51,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Flyers44c568.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.146246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Blue Jackets53c558.34$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0258947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blue Jackets55c543.14$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Flyers47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010646.2%49 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Flyers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Blue Jackets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Flyers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2459…fd38backed Blue Jackets54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.