Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a6324bde5edc3370ffcf77a3763cc1210720ed766cb760ae5f1d859a91bf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x508d…9c58backed No | 0c | 10,051$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…51eabacked No | 2c | 1,041$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 401.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 389.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 4c | 379.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…ccdcbacked No | 57c | 312.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 21c | 300.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 31c | 300.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 286.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 62c | 273.52$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 68c | 270.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 38c | 222.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 60c | 176.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 36c | 161.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 75c | 156.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 36c | 156.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 29c | 151.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed No | 63c | 149.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed No | 62c | 135.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 131.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 127.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…570dbacked Yes | 79c | 127.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 64c | 123.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 116.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 39c | 108.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed Yes | 40c | 108.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 106.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 100.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 78c | 93.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 65c | 88.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1928backed No | 62c | 79.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked Yes | 77c | 71.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 40c | 70.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…4282backed Yes | 39c | 69.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 43c | 66.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…5962backed No | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 41c | 65.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 57.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 57.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 42c | 56.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 57c | 55.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 40c | 53.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 34c | 50.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 34c | 50.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 26c | 49.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 47.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 40c | 46.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 65c | 46.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 68c | 45.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 45.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…e08ebacked Yes | 36c | 43.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 34c | 41.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 40c | 40.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 57c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 36c | 36.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 59c | 32.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 70c | 32.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 69c | 32.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 63c | 32.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 76c | 31.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 78c | 31.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b1…369abacked No | 55c | 30.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…177fbacked No | 65c | 29.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked No | 59c | 29.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 63c | 29.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…0805backed No | 62c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…758cbacked Yes | 41c | 25.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 64c | 24.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Yes | 69c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…5fdcbacked Yes | 53c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…013fbacked Yes | 65c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…70f0backed Yes | 80c | 19.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Yes | 76c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 66c | 17.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…be3dbacked No | 61c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked Yes | 74c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 80c | 15.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Yes | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.