Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8436f93ab71ee2f0f0345c3fc735ada00cf7148d64961e9863662ad858cf5368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 59c | 4,559$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.29 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed No | 0c | 4,533$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked No | 6c | 4,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 11c | 3,871$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…13a7backed Yes | 80c | 2,629$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 68c | 1,547$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.46 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…5475backed No | 20c | 1,348$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 18c | 1,170$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 14c | 1,128$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 63c | 976$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 37c | 929$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked No | 17c | 848.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked No | 39c | 837.2$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 32c | 715.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed Yes | 75c | 639.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 592.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 26c | 537.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 37c | 504$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 63c | 457$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 452.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 40c | 439.15$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 48c | 405.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 58c | 398.72$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 21c | 369.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 3c | 324.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 39c | 310.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…3d3abacked No | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…b544backed No | 40c | 248.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 235.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…7c98backed Yes | 45c | 222.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 219.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked No | 23c | 196.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Yes | 40c | 191.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed No | 27c | 185.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 51c | 162.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 62c | 160.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 29c | 160$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 45c | 145.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 24c | 142.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…55b0backed No | 60c | 133.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 45c | 131.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…14e8backed Yes | 45c | 123.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…5f34backed No | 11c | 120.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…6828backed No | 30c | 116.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked No | 42c | 110.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…55cebacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 94.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 91.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 33c | 90.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…9ee5backed No | 18c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes | 75c | 85.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 28c | 81.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…3a22backed Yes | 38c | 79.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 56c | 78.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 59c | 75.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…adafbacked No | 66c | 69.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked No | 59c | 67.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…1036backed No | 29c | 67.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes | 29c | 65.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 22c | 62.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 73c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked No | 55c | 54.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 38c | 54.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 54.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 51.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked Yes | 37c | 51.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…1a36backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 25c | 49.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 32c | 43.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…4af7backed Yes | 64c | 43.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Yes | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…7302backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…cc9cbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…c286backed No | 28c | 39.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 55c | 39.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…21aabacked No | 62c | 34.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.