Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70d04d659ac6ea6acc94ea3c1a97afb5a58ce9967f95fe073282145186dff05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe937…d46abacked No | 1c | 5,990$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 4c | 5,542$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 76c | 2,332$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.55 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 13c | 1,843$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 11c | 1,677$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 64c | 1,633$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 26c | 1,287$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 1,184$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.45 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…3182backed No | 13c | 717.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 70c | 660.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 52c | 649.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked No | 26c | 512.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 508.89$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 53c | 502.37$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 43c | 479.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…1b24backed No | 19c | 452.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 48c | 414.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 73c | 402.59$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.87 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 14c | 401.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 22c | 398.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 14c | 382.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…504bbacked No | 17c | 363.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…a01abacked Yes | 60c | 335.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 50c | 328.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 50c | 323.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 11c | 291.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…5d2cbacked Yes | 47c | 283.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 9c | 265.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 42c | 246.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 33c | 241.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 45c | 234.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.91 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 58c | 213.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed No | 39c | 209.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 11c | 190.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 173.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…0de7backed No | 16c | 171.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 48c | 156.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 78c | 136.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…cbddbacked No | 12c | 133.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…24ddbacked No | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…e6eabacked Yes | 71c | 128.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 28c | 127.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 12c | 122.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 62c | 111.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 15c | 108.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked No | 22c | 103.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 48c | 101.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 99.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked No | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes | 40c | 95.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…c17dbacked Yes | 51c | 93.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…55b0backed No | 55c | 90.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 69c | 76.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…fdcfbacked Yes | 59c | 69.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…faf6backed Yes | 52c | 69.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…488dbacked Yes | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 23c | 58.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 52c | 54.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…05ddbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 34c | 41.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 69c | 38.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…7302backed Yes | 57c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…7cffbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…ae11backed Yes | 51c | 35.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…8f93backed No | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7314…cf76backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 46c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 70c | 31.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked No | 64c | 31.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…6594backed Yes | 38c | 28.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 56c | 22.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 79c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 21.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…80b7backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…1036backed Yes | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…86c1backed Yes | 72c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…a4d6backed No | 76c | 16.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.