Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b48134fa5388e555a27b18bf1406037473180d6ebeea0f77df12a762c0c0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,045 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked No | 3c | 3,528$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 4c | 2,900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 71c | 2,776$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.23 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 2c | 2,430$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 4c | 2,350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed No | 3c | 2,019$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 3c | 1,800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked No | 4c | 1,253$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 1,240$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 7c | 1,133$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 1,096$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 11c | 1,047$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yes | 71c | 985.85$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.85 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 24c | 917.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 915.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 8c | 583.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 31c | 491.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 25c | 406.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 399.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 124 | 5.6%7 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed No | 26c | 384.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed No | 7c | 308.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 299.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 299.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 24c | 291.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 38c | 279.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 24c | 279.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 43c | 249.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 8c | 248.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 66c | 240.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 45c | 239.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed No | 42c | 226.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 164 | 33.5%55 W · 109 L | -19.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 202.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…55b0backed No | 42c | 201.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 173.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 43c | 166.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…14e8backed Yes | 46c | 152.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 49c | 140.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed No | 66c | 121.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 13c | 114$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…8e2fbacked Yes | 61c | 109.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked No | 49c | 102.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 41c | 96.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 29c | 96.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 27c | 90.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 20c | 90.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed No | 48c | 83.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…6863backed Yes | 65c | 81.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…24ddbacked No | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 63c | 79.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 75c | 77.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 44c | 61.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…c41ebacked No | 52c | 57.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…660abacked No | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…7756backed No | 71c | 51.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…25f1backed No | 74c | 50.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 46c | 48.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 48.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…62c0backed Yes | 42c | 47.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked No | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…38b6backed Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…ff39backed No | 67c | 44.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed No | 42c | 44.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Yes | 51c | 40.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 51c | 40.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…8e26backed No | 65c | 38.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…b5ebbacked Yes | 56c | 35.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 42c | 35.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…c286backed Yes | 74c | 31.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…5d73backed Yes | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…3e68backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Yes | 63c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.