Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2a7825289b8ab64a4d14f51cecbe34d2e4d421992078a5dd13e426d4cdb43a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f89…d6febacked Yes | 27c | 54,899$14,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,877.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 70c | 37,040$25,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,809.26 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 1c | 31,925$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 4c | 20,741$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.71 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 73c | 19,520$14,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.84 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…427abacked No | 63c | 13,729$8,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa82…7dd0backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…9506backed Yes | 9c | 11,993$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 11c | 11,633$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.29 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…23a8backed Yes | 3c | 11,296$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.09 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…039fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,324$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 77c | 10,207$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 65c | 7,054$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.51 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Yes | 21c | 6,458$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.42 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 75c | 6,100$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.18 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 79c | 5,927$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.85 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…7b96backed Yes | 13c | 5,901$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 39c | 5,690$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 61c | 5,594$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.36 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…72eebacked Yes | 68c | 5,373$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 19c | 5,338$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.6 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 4c | 5,323$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +279.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,464$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.37 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,139$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f796backed Yes | 13c | 4,062$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 2c | 4,058$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 12c | 3,962$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 38c | 3,800$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.52 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 43c | 3,797$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.9 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…b882backed Yes | 12c | 3,723$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.59 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,670$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.1 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 39c | 3,403$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.26 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 60c | 3,133$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.89 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,113$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0a63backed Yes | 26c | 2,929$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.61 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 40c | 2,760$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.93 | 130 | 22.3%29 W · 101 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 49c | 2,564$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.78 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,500$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 31c | 2,395$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.16 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,354$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…3182backed Yes | 5c | 2,295$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 45c | 2,067$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.95 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +210%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 46c | 1,954$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.94 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 37c | 1,946$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.26 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 16c | 1,939$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 67c | 1,939$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.02 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…7f85backed Yes | 24c | 1,930$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 10c | 1,900$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 74c | 1,868$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.05 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…504bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,865$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Yes | 26c | 1,864$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.77 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 63c | 1,712$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 68c | 1,696$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.79 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…6594backed Yes | 57c | 1,684$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…5475backed Yes | 13c | 1,624$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 1,582$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.37 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…a091backed Yes | 3c | 1,571$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b7…7f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,519$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 72c | 1,420$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.29 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 12c | 1,415$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 10c | 1,370$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 44c | 1,369$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 34c | 1,360$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.82 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked No | 26c | 1,343$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.15 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 40c | 1,311$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.77 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…e1a7backed Yes | 11c | 1,309$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 28c | 1,282$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.1 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +41.8wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 78+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 19c | 1,269$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed Yes | 72c | 1,256$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…293ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,242$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 72c | 1,210$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…9c94backed Yes | 7c | 1,208$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 9c | 1,202$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,156$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,151$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,130$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…94b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,068$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 67c | 1,064$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked No | 75c | 1,021$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked No | 77c | 1,017$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 28c | 995.66$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed No | 54c | 980.89$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 961.7$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 8c | 912.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 899.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 21c | 870.43$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…f43dbacked Yes | 55c | 860.4$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 66cpaid | -81%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked No | 45c | 841.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.15 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…55cebacked Yes | 15c | 839.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 51c | 829.25$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9072backed No | 23c | 799.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.28 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…92d4backed Yes | 54c | 789.22$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…ba0fbacked Yes | 73c | 745.83$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 12c | 745$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 37c | 729.6$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed Yes | 10c | 710.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?this page
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.