Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7ffef1fea187a7a82d1584e25f1a0992fe58409010801a21f3d98d9ffe5984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 0c | 28,976$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,558$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.57 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 70c | 3,383$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.26 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 18c | 2,564$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 1,511$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.99 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 1,406$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.85 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 48c | 996.52$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.71 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Yes | 7c | 911.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.29 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 24c | 877.56$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.28 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 46c | 835.29$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 74c | 823.77$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 60c | 801.53$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.59 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 741.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.37 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 10c | 721.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.53 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 22c | 703.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…b815backed No | 2c | 667.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +595.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 16c | 639.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.14 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 15c | 626.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.26 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed No | 5c | 608.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 588.64$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Yes | 14c | 586.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 11c | 536.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.7 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 61c | 527.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 16c | 490.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.15 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 8c | 489.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 482.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 30c | 456.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.94 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 37c | 426.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 391.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 15c | 385.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 77c | 374.65$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…5b44backed Yes | 12c | 368.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…775abacked Yes | 9c | 358.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.52 | 78 | 9%7 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 74c | 353.86$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 6c | 347.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked No | 5c | 342.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…f16abacked Yes | 78c | 339.53$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 323.31$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 28c | 317.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 67c | 306.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed No | 79c | 303.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 299.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 30c | 291.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 12c | 286.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 28c | 281.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 15c | 243.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.81 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 27c | 231.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 16c | 225.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 215.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 9c | 201.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 13c | 185.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff65…f1cdbacked Yes | 15c | 180.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 175.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 12c | 174.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked Yes | 80c | 173.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 172.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 48c | 171.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 10c | 171.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…2f12backed Yes | 14c | 168.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…547fbacked Yes | 7c | 164.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +234.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 14c | 160.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed Yes | 24c | 156.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 12c | 155.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 7c | 155.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 37c | 153.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 24c | 148.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7b…4974backed Yes | 12c | 148.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +211.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 11c | 135.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.81 | 146 | 17.1%25 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…cefebacked Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…b5b2backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e225backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…dc81backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…8bf2backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…6942backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…8634backed Yes | 76c | 130.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked No | 75c | 130.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…c3bbbacked No | 77c | 125.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…c3e3backed No | 15c | 122.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 11c | 120.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 114.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 11c | 113.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…7244backed Yes | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 26c | 108.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked Yes | 17c | 105.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 105.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 19c | 105.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 36c | 101.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed Yes | 75c | 97.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1831backed Yes | 30c | 97.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…6f1fbacked Yes | 17c | 96.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…eb97backed Yes | 12c | 95.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b345backed Yes | 15c | 93.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…c53fbacked Yes | 13c | 92.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.