Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ec25d4716bc372a7b0eff179a6b28d5a3e1eb4188d5f93edb760a8cc235e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 8c | 2,623$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,224$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 77c | 723.12$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 658.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 24c | 626.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked No | 74c | 489.7$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 25c | 427.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 13c | 384.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 29c | 379.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 27c | 338.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 311.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 304.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed Yes | 22c | 298.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 21c | 297.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 17c | 252.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 26c | 221.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 33c | 199.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 180.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 24c | 177.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 15c | 174.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 35c | 171.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 169.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…238cbacked Yes | 20c | 160.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 26c | 146.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 143.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 133.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 20c | 132.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed Yes | 30c | 125.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 122.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 68c | 115.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 111.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 30c | 103.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 18c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 24c | 100.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 22c | 100.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 98.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 34c | 97.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 28c | 97.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 95.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 78c | 94.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 21c | 94.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…1b36backed Yes | 31c | 90.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 23c | 87.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 38c | 87.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 81.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 80.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 76c | 77.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…0e3fbacked Yes | 36c | 74.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…2ad4backed Yes | 25c | 73.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 30c | 68.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 67.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…399ebacked Yes | 29c | 64.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed Yes | 29c | 64.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 27c | 61.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 30c | 61.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 70c | 57.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…4dadbacked Yes | 22c | 57.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 30c | 56.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…72cfbacked No | 72c | 56.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 18c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 54.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 44c | 54.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 19c | 53.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 70c | 52.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5731backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…c9e4backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 29c | 49.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 77c | 48.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 24c | 48.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 28c | 48.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…32b5backed Yes | 32c | 45.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Yes | 24c | 43.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 24c | 41.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 36c | 41.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 76c | 35.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 71c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 73c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked No | 76c | 33.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…0d6abacked Yes | 37c | 29.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 28.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…7265backed No | 73c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 75c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 74c | 26.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…eb97backed No | 73c | 24.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed No | 66c | 21.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 78c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…129dbacked No | 71c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 75c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.