Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2b79898bca1258f0e97fc75179260222e1cbfcd265c0e81dca337d0c7ca88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Yes | 6c | 11,223$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 5c | 4,983$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 27c | 4,696$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.59 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 18c | 1,649$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.94 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,427$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.98 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,241$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 814.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 24c | 765.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.21 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 677.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 22c | 644.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 75c | 508.49$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 17c | 505.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 497.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 77c | 478.97$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.35 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 442.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 39c | 388.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 27c | 364.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 73c | 360.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 24c | 352.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 73c | 337.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 41c | 332.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 31c | 318$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 16c | 292.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 287.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 21c | 274.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 254.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 26c | 253.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 234$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 21c | 232.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 16c | 223.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 25c | 221.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…e15abacked Yes | 17c | 220.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 49c | 208.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked No | 70c | 206.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…8dbabacked No | 73c | 194.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 25c | 179.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 20c | 176.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 27c | 173.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 15c | 166.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 16c | 163.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 61c | 161.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed Yes | 78c | 155.45$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 29c | 152.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 27c | 146.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Yes | 79c | 145.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…eb97backed Yes | 13c | 136.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 134.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 10c | 131.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 16c | 130.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 130.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 14c | 129.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 44c | 121.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 114.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 16c | 112.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 18c | 110.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 18c | 109.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 108.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 68c | 108.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 23c | 106.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed Yes | 36c | 104.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 76c | 101.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 18c | 97.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…c0b1backed No | 74c | 97.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 23c | 96.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 30c | 93.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 13c | 91.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 18c | 81.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 64c | 69.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 75c | 65.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 75c | 65.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 115 | 69.6%80 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 18c | 57.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 20c | 56.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 78c | 51.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 70c | 47.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 66c | 45.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 38c | 43.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…470bbacked No | 75c | 43.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 32c | 43.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed No | 27c | 41.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…2a44backed No | 29c | 38.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…bd7abacked Yes | 32c | 31.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…5a06backed No | 74c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 71c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…ab6fbacked No | 68c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 75c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…f045backed No | 70c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed No | 77c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.