Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566b01c1803c1e013d7d4ad26c11b8773da62f59042873cdca3aeffcd807c8bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,853 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882b…a746backed Yes | 73c | 11,267$8,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.92 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 17c | 9,145$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 10c | 7,050$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…eb97backed No | 1c | 6,350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 6,021$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…e3e9backed No | 13c | 5,608$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 13c | 5,566$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 21c | 5,018$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.24 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…1eeebacked Yes | 76c | 4,502$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 4,409$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.16 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 1c | 4,264$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 25c | 4,071$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.16 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed No | 28c | 4,054$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 14c | 4,007$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…96b9backed No | 40c | 3,454$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 21c | 3,398$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…4e2abacked No | 27c | 3,381$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…2949backed Yes | 79c | 3,315$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.65 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 3,049$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked No | 20c | 2,839$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…93efbacked No | 24c | 2,745$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…4229backed Yes | 76c | 2,639$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.51 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed No | 20c | 2,575$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.16 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67b…c941backed Yes | 80c | 2,566$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…d427backed No | 29c | 2,481$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 79c | 2,336$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.47 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…6749backed No | 24c | 2,329$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed Yes | 65c | 2,300$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.7 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 1c | 2,044$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 10c | 2,036$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,963$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…350ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…c556backed No | 24c | 1,874$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…4fe3backed No | 17c | 1,848$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,845$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 72c | 1,786$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed No | 23c | 1,771$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 28c | 1,704$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.74 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 80c | 1,661$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -96.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 8c | 1,587$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…26d4backed No | 3c | 1,572$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…3a3cbacked No | 13c | 1,524$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 1,522$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 1,501$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.37 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…1d85backed Yes | 70c | 1,436$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked No | 13c | 1,399$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 18c | 1,377$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e2e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,376$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed No | 19c | 1,368$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 49c | 1,310$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.42 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed No | 11c | 1,276$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,276$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.43 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…206abacked No | 22c | 1,235$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 10c | 1,217$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…9eb9backed Yes | 70c | 1,164$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 15c | 1,162$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 80c | 1,150$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 16c | 1,114$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked No | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…22e4backed Yes | 76c | 1,083$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4f…6868backed No | 24c | 1,081$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…fcd4backed No | 20c | 1,080$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…059dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,065$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 20c | 1,060$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,047$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 17c | 1,004$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed No | 24c | 987.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6699…4dfdbacked Yes | 80c | 979.33$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 23c | 973.2$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 31c | 968.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…e2b8backed No | 29c | 968.42$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed33backed No | 25c | 892.46$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…f536backed No | 34c | 877.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…69aabacked No | 5c | 803.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84aa…d5c1backed Yes | 63c | 770.04$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…967dbacked Yes | 77c | 740.06$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked No | 14c | 717.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed Yes | 80c | 717.29$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed No | 21c | 715.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…e51ebacked No | 28c | 715.31$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…7296backed Yes | 78c | 706.55$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 69c | 705.41$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 10c | 704.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 71c | 702.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed No | 18c | 690$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 17c | 689.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 12c | 675.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 14c | 665.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f67abacked Yes | 79c | 636.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc062…cc13backed No | 10c | 636$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 21c | 634.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 18c | 627.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 37c | 610$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 604.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 74c | 601.29$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?this page
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?No won
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.