TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Galions, Solary
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed Solary49c33,951$16,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,281.3921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Galions51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2001,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Galions51c10,019$5,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,067.6166437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Galions51c9,300$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74317163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Solary50c8,519$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.2110030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Solary80c8,300$6,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.0159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Galions53c7,948$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.4928361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galions51c6,730$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.651,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Galions52c5,982$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.771,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Galions50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.8113344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions25c2,998$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.192,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Solary79c2,902$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Galions51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9844047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Galions51c2,236$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.449940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Galions50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11119648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed Galions16c2,100$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34213418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c31…b74fbacked Galions52c2,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0354526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Solary49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.979637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Solary68c1,767$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.5139246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc3…6be5backed Galions18c1,175$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.093727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Galions53c1,166$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.0649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Galions22c1,118$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2121134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Galions10c1,086$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.873023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Galions53c1,059$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.610356.3%58 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Solary60c1,053$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.851,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Galions50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Galions5c999.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Solary47c981.17$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.228827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Galions15c977.48$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.371,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Galions18c972.87$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3276142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Solary48c962.37$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4375942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary48c923.7$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.761,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Galions20c913.98$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary72c903.25$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.172,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Solary47c885.41$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9818244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Solary49c879.67$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6346637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Solary46c875$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Solary47c811.32$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Galions41c786.53$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4815148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Galions25c764.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19126246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Galions54c730.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.8186144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Galions52c730.73$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5616154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Galions24c718.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1469539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Solary68c716.68$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1459241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Galions20c714.19$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8127353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Galions24c712.14$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6224065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Galions5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Solary46c698.31$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.081,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Galions52c668.52$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5895847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Solary80c617.5$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.515062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Galions26c599.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4974250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Solary50c586.71$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3679653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Solary48c536.61$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1650749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Solary48c529.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.592,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa0…b3babacked Galions54c527.04$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.943161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Solary46c523.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0556341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Solary80c509.88$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9866843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Solary48c504$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7999747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Solary68c493.36$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8948353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Solary48c468.25$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4933143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Galions25c464.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9168942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions6c451.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.143,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Galions41c451.25$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7463352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e7…2779backed Galions52c417.49$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.099662.5%60 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Solary69c410.9$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6536260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Galions35c406.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3142852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Solary48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a37…e5edbacked Galions10c387.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick32cpaid-91.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Galions53c367.48$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5812436.3%45 W · 79 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Galions49c359.23$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5621141.2%87 W · 124 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2d…6b23backed Galions52c339.92$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.762352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Solary59c325.89$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8656650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Solary67c304.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.792,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Galions27c294.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.591,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Solary52c294.76$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4868557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Galions20c285.54$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1648652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Solary46c280$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.25143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5313…a4a8backed Galions55c253.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.411190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick58cpaid+55.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6db8…b4c1backed Galions8c243.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Solary45c241.6$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.882,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Galions53c228.21$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…ae59backed Solary76c223.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Galions52c208.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1884041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Solary50c204.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1813544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Solary48c193.75$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Solary48c181.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.392642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Galions52c180.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5615232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Galions9c172.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6737754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Galions54c165.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2634945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Galions18c160.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6737342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d9…cb2fbacked Galions53c156.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.254755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb546…400dbacked Galions55c155.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.834456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Galions53c146.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7451247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…45acbacked Solary58c146.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.415766.7%38 W · 19 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Galions52c142.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.051338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Galions12c133.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.421,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Galions29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.825151%128 W · 123 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Galions20c128.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Galions52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.92119%4 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.