Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b96b4cf8d907bfb7e058d9702a212b893b2076321c654dffc89e14513386ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 67c | 7,495$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.43 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Over | 33c | 3,556$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 33c | 2,226$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.51 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Under | 67c | 999.85$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 33c | 844.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Over | 33c | 479.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Over | 38c | 441.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 67c | 440.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 425.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.23 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 32c | 377.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 59c | 245$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…e07abacked Over | 33c | 218.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Under | 31c | 218.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5313…a4a8backed Under | 68c | 215.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…b6f3backed Over | 33c | 174.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 51c | 160.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Over | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 61c | 131.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…6a2dbacked Over | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a603backed Under | 63c | 77.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 29c | 59.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Under | 68c | 53.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 68c | 41.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 41.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 32.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.