TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, Solary
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed Solary49c29,874$14,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.0321448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Galions51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Galions50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Galions50c9,970$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,98517163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Solary1c8,888$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.213775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Solary31c7,999$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.4210030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Solary49c5,440$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.0239239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Galions47c4,284$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.1944047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Galions52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92013344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Solary43c3,561$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.2269539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galions51c3,242$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.381,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Galions51c3,200$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.9952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Solary53c2,571$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.3219648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Galions51c2,498$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.6948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions52c2,059$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.291,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary52c2,024$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.561,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked Solary50c1,943$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.969637.5%36 W · 60 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Solary48c1,935$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.6110521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Solary39c1,126$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.461,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Solary35c1,098$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.121134.6%73 W · 138 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Solary50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Solary50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Solary47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Solary50c985.11$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Galions53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7549549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Galions51c965.32$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7415232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Solary30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.421746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Solary51c957.05$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3576142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c8c…f2cebacked Solary50c940.11$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Galions58c898.39$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.281,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary46c844.5$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.821,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Solary50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38834250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Solary51c764.65$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Solary52c747.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4833143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Galions54c738.6$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.9486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Solary46c698.31$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.211,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Solary15c663.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3648042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary55c593.36$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.352,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Solary10c592.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.241,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Solary33c588.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.742852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Solary45c561.4$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.733,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5198…7a53backed Solary7c544.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…05b5backed Solary50c536.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Solary55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.926245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Solary4c507.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.462025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions50c506.25$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.132,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Solary45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Galions65c492.54$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8450646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Solary61c488.22$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4444042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…2779backed Solary50c444.59$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.299662.5%60 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Solary48c402.68$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.321,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Galions53c399.47$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6292342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Galions50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19426246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed Galions46c386.97$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.123946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Solary28c373$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.031,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Solary57c357.53$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.792347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Galions52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Solary49c297.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.466947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Solary57c292.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5968443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Solary35c285.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1730731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Galions48c260.12$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.261,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Solary32c247.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.771,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Galions52c243$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6429952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Solary49c242.35$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.751,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Galions53c232.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9661150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Solary38c228.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6559241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Galions75c223.56$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.681,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Galions53c220.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4115148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Galions44c218.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.991,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary56c215.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Solary47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.79640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Solary64c205.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1843542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Galions49c201.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0213544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Solary28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242d…33bcbacked Solary14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Solary46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.599338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Galions52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2426859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Solary51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9956341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Solary49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9568557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Solary54c180.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2499747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Galions53c168.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1134945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Solary35c155$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9442124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e98…f208backed Solary48c150.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Solary50c135.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9116043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5313…a4a8backed Galions52c131.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.931190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick58cpaid+55.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary8c131$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Solary49c125.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5524759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Galions53c118.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4779151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eda…0f15backed Solary50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Solary28c116.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Galions52c115.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Galions53c113.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1284360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Solary42c112.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.692,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Galions53c98.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4574250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Galions68c98.29$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9822867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Solary26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Solary26c98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4859740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked Solary52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.544047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Solary49c91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5940959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked Solary54c90.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.623748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.