TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, Solary
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17f1…af18backed Solary2c12,221$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.863775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Solary31c10,679$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.272,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Solary1c9,701$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.43023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Solary46c8,188$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.8866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Galions49c5,608$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.1728361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Solary36c3,552$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Solary51c3,319$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.8931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Solary34c3,027$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions49c2,787$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.511,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions51c2,741$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.972,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Solary48c2,649$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.9185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Solary44c2,317$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5524065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Solary51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2219648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Galions52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Galions48c1,961$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.7439246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Solary55c1,784$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.2443151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary53c1,645$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.511,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Solary36c1,591$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6282044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Galions55c1,373$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4550945.8%233 W · 276 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Solary43c1,293$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.0373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Solary26c1,207$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0929238.4%112 W · 180 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Galions64c1,163$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.731,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Solary39c1,142$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.551,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Solary50c1,139$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2570462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Galions50c1,108$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.721,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Galions69c1,101$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.959035.6%32 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Galions58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Solary44c1,079$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5844042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Galions57c1,009$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.71,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Galions46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Galions49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9949549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary6c949.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Solary48c908.25$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.9633143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Solary41c847.46$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.468042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Galions46c839.08$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45221746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Solary52c816.09$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.13231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Solary52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41666942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Galions71c795.27$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9733857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions48c777.2$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Solary45c757$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0115332%49 W · 104 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked Solary51c754.31$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3626245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Galions52c754.31$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3310356.3%58 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Solary26c721.44$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7432941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Galions46c709.46$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Galions48c678.22$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7115148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Solary31c657.62$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9556341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked Solary29c619.76$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5115246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Galions50c536.72$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.922825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Galions51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24564849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Galions52c499.7$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8648652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Solary42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Solary18c418.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0764451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Solary24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4469642.4%295 W · 401 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Galions70c391.6$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4846153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Galions50c384.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0714363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Solary54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4826246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Solary31c355.32$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6117228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Solary51c307.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.071,41243.8%618 W · 794 L-3.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Galions67c294.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0456650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Galions77c293.07$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.566761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bf…f6b7backed Galions67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.566100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Solary29c287.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0460538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Solary35c269.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1346258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Solary55c266.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9430348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Galions50c254.31$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.612436.3%45 W · 79 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd62…dcecbacked Galions75c223.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Solary26c220.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3484840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Solary54c217.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6730440.1%122 W · 182 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Galions56c212.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7114032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary26c208.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.431,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Solary48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.886858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Solary26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258346.7%272 W · 311 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Solary32c199.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.994365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Solary25c190$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0410435.6%37 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Solary14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5612454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Solary51c184.41$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.053525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Galions66c183.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5124759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Galions58c177.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.792147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfa…a0e4backed Galions66c172.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9323361.8%144 W · 89 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Solary32c169.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.571,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Solary20c169.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Galions49c169.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7626049.2%128 W · 132 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd06…d1f3backed Solary22c155.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.198258.5%48 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Solary45c155$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.251,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Galions51c147.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2716154%87 W · 74 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Solary26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2213544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Galions66c141.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.278749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Solary17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.766418.8%12 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Galions50c136.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4328040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Solary51c133.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9432939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Galions74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5926955%148 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Solary32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.613537%50 W · 85 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f7…7eadbacked Galions49c128.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8718846.3%87 W · 101 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f74…13cebacked Solary52c121.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.131942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Solary42c114.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2659341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb546…400dbacked Galions49c110.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.334456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d9…cb2fbacked Galions49c109.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.054755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Galions72c109.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5719257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Galions53c108.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…2dc9backed Galions49c103.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.099645.8%44 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.