TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BMZof Morningstar, BMZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,506 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Morningstar56c4,208$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.3884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Morningstar47c3,839$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.659353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BMZ46c2,846$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Morningstar1c2,160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Morningstar57c1,136$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.375,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed BMZ48c1,050$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed Morningstar11c924.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.417647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed BMZ42c716.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.262263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BMZ43c689.2$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.571,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed BMZ44c657.96$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5513937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed Morningstar55c587.64$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3235738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed BMZ52c577.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0741847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…520abacked Morningstar60c510$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed BMZ54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Morningstar54c455.05$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.715,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed BMZ57c454.34$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.64959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BMZ45c390.88$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.841,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed BMZ57c389.1$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3916947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Morningstar47c380.43$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.044,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Morningstar30c371.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Morningstar49c303.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked BMZ42c299.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.996152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed BMZ45c299.68$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7632844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8648…03d9backed Morningstar54c289.66$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed BMZ45c264.24$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.811,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Morningstar50c222.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4816349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked BMZ46c213.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked BMZ45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11023858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked BMZ44c196.16$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2819055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed Morningstar55c174.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Morningstar58c172.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed BMZ59c170$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.58166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Morningstar55c155.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610561%64 W · 41 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed BMZ66c150.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3915033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked BMZ44c148.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed BMZ69c144.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.294953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2e…b5a5backed BMZ15c144.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6113847.1%65 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+65.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Morningstar9c140.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed BMZ45c137.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.283141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb896…ac39backed BMZ46c136.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed BMZ43c125.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2596543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed BMZ51c117.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.229326.9%25 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0e9…09febacked Morningstar52c117.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked BMZ52c115.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.848047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked BMZ45c110.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6326257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Morningstar25c105$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2569732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked BMZ50c103.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.415057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked BMZ48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Morningstar54c99.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed BMZ52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156157.4%35 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed BMZ47c95.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1295849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked BMZ54c94.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.397255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed BMZ32c94.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.149540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f5…7a95backed BMZ43c89.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1823751.5%122 W · 115 L-14.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Morningstar52c84.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.882556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed BMZ20c78.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.811,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed BMZ65c75.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.468664%55 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe39f…b4c2backed BMZ78c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27e…2748backed Morningstar52c63.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.154942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…9055backed BMZ61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44185.4%35 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked BMZ45c59.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2945956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed BMZ46c55.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Morningstar55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2528852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed BMZ43c52.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1760838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked Morningstar63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.532351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed BMZ38c48.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2652755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa574…4596backed Morningstar52c47.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.673458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Morningstar43c41.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed BMZ49c41.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0413267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Morningstar32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Morningstar52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Morningstar55c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0425337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e2…8708backed BMZ53c34.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…cf76backed BMZ53c33.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe39e…23a5backed BMZ46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.822352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…2e0dbacked BMZ41c32.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093b…e86bbacked BMZ55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x675c…5af6backed BMZ49c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4c…b8fabacked Morningstar52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Morningstar58c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Morningstar50c23.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8821…32c6backed BMZ52c21.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.445957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed BMZ53c21.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3049…36c1backed BMZ53c18.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.