CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352863bb86de34a54c6ed287ecfd3bcfbefb0594c5a685bccd76c8317ae55345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BMZof Morningstar, BMZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,226 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Morningstar | 58c | 874.28$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Morningstar | 35c | 533.27$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BMZ | 70c | 490.42$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked BMZ | 43c | 358.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BMZ | 41c | 275.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked BMZ | 42c | 187.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…ebf9backed BMZ | 40c | 109.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed BMZ | 50c | 90.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed BMZ | 57c | 87.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BMZ | 44c | 68.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BMZ | 65c | 65.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Morningstar | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BMZ | 54c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BMZ | 73c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 PlayoffsBMZ won
- Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ - Map 1 WinnerBMZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.