MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff6250981611560e2c35d56c404e109c152fdc40c43c1c277f5129770d79fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Cincinnati Reds, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $860,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 219,381$114,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,303.06 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 202,525$95,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,159.76 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 199,396$95,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,710.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 80,789$42,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,944.04 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 78,983$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 52,051$16,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,008.17 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 36,000$17,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,280 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 24,395$12,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,610.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 20,719$10,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,737.95 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 20,109$13,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895.76 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31e…82cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 14,014$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 13,236$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,220.88 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 11,640$6,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.81 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 11,590$7,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.05 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f0…3d5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 11,370$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 10,417$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.95 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 9,853$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.36 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 9,712$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.76 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 9,667$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.32 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 9,019$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.92 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 8,758$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 8,072$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.51 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 6,488$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 6,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 5,958$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.72 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,402$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.02 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 4,845$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.05 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,569$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 4,509$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,376$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.87 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,866$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,693$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.63 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 3,554$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.98 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.16 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,175$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.19 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 3,008$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,701$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,481$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,437$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.61 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,353$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.78 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.97 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,090$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.43 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,085$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.72 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,054$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,051$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.14 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,044$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.36 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,039$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,027$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,967$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,905$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,757$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.84 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 1,680$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,553$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.73 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,413$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 1,082$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,047$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 1,026$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…b07ebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 972.31$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.68 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 970.22$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 955.3$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.99 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 953.14$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.44 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 929.63$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.92 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 926.38$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 925.33$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 910.89$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 877.73$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 849.37$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 830.04$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 799.96$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.98 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 790$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 780.05$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 778.34$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 751.11$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 734.17$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 721.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 721.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 716.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 715.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.65 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…3d2cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 706.42$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 704.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 699.83$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…699abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 670.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 651.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 650.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 640.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami MarlinsYes Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.