MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6c40f7a69aee63f9852c80c5e8cb960aa257aa1097284a248246255aeeaaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 8,194$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.09 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 8,088$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.72 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 6,156$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…b09dbacked Under | 61c | 1,055$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 911.43$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 4c | 900$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 574.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 567.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 511.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 61c | 480.76$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 38c | 402.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 63c | 364.63$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 353.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Over | 56c | 350.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 42c | 337.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 57c | 299.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 225.55$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 217.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 54c | 207.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 202.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 62c | 198.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 172.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 6c | 171.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 166.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 164.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 37c | 135.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 129.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 124.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 112.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 47c | 110.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 57c | 100.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 55c | 99.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 97.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 97.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Under | 42c | 93.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Under | 42c | 93.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Under | 42c | 93.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 57c | 92.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 88.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 88.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 47c | 79.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 70.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 69.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 32c | 67.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 60.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…f736backed Under | 42c | 55.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…e9c9backed Over | 59c | 53.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 52.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…f3e8backed Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 49.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…3660backed Over | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 48.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 54c | 48.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed Under | 63c | 48.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 54c | 47.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 43c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 56c | 41.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 41.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 40.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 64c | 39.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 36.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 58c | 32.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 64c | 29.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami MarlinsYes Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.