TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Denmarkof Denmark, Latvia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$568,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Denmark55c204,355$112,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,459.982737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Latvia47c170,405$80,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,574.111838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Denmark53c84,516$44,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,028.142634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Denmark52c40,545$21,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,427.243616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Latvia46c30,000$13,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,824.911921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Latvia47c23,625$11,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,103.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Latvia47c22,680$10,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,659.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-80.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Denmark54c21,006$11,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,661.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ce…d77cbacked Latvia46c20,078$9,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,235.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Denmark61c19,735$12,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Latvia40c15,407$6,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.954325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Denmark52c14,747$7,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,028.572321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Latvia47c10,300$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Latvia47c10,022$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.121030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Denmark59c8,901$5,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Latvia47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,760425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Latvia47c7,912$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Latvia47c7,152$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Latvia47c7,076$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.641947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed Latvia47c7,020$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,31840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Denmark53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2901457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Denmark53c6,556$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Latvia46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Denmark52c6,250$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-45.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Latvia16c5,630$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8831338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd76…dc41backed Latvia46c5,280$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f7…ea4cbacked Denmark54c5,123$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9a…4f00backed Denmark54c4,872$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…ae75backed Latvia16c4,845$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a17…956cbacked Latvia46c4,717$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb34b…dd81backed Latvia48c4,387$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Latvia47c4,342$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0281127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Latvia23c4,189$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Latvia49c4,085$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Latvia23c3,868$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Latvia47c3,780$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Latvia45c3,652$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e2…6bc0backed Denmark55c3,642$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Latvia37c3,352$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Denmark54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Latvia47c2,944$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Latvia47c2,938$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Latvia46c2,826$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Denmark55c2,591$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Latvia34c2,520$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.2248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1353…99b2backed Latvia25c2,471$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Latvia47c2,397$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Latvia11c2,371$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Latvia47c2,302$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Latvia29c2,195$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.6570%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Latvia46c2,160$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Latvia25c2,124$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.341040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Latvia47c2,079$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Denmark52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Latvia16c1,989$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Latvia47c1,985$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Latvia47c1,902$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Denmark54c1,858$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Denmark52c1,845$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.69742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Latvia49c1,682$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Denmark52c1,634$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.412025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Denmark52c1,596$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.081315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Latvia47c1,588$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Denmark74c1,504$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.93941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Denmark53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Latvia25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Latvia47c1,443$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.211435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Latvia47c1,440$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Latvia46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001225%3 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Latvia45c1,300$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Denmark52c1,297$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.482321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Latvia24c1,267$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.151546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Latvia47c1,156$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Denmark54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Latvia46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+128.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Latvia46c1,075$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Latvia47c1,062$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Latvia44c1,047$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4581323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Latvia48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2907…9c3fbacked Latvia23c1,037$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.271010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-79.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Denmark76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0268…09f7backed Latvia21c950$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46c…7020backed Denmark78c945.84$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.94666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Latvia47c932.16$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9885…346bbacked Latvia46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Latvia51c863$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.07812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4233…d7dcbacked Latvia24c851.91$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Latvia47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Latvia35c840.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Latvia47c827$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Latvia49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Latvia47c735.65$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Denmark54c725$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Denmark73c700.19$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.05714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-80.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denmark76c681.82$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53e5…3a31backed Latvia46c666.2$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Latvia48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+49.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Latvia47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Denmark79c631$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.512832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Latvia40c611$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.