Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce8317dfee2f06f341b0e605f5c000c5ef784d6df38b3a1622dd43a5ae58bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 66c | 2,963$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.44 | 101 | 84.2%85 W · 16 L | +26.9wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 6c | 2,173$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 30c | 1,587$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.61 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 944.61$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 60c | 711.02$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.41 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…6599backed No | 3c | 638.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 94 | 7.4%7 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 49c | 505.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 31c | 474.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 31c | 430.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.04 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 387.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 372.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 38c | 331.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…bec9backed Yes | 32c | 320.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 65c | 266.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 260.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 73c | 260.09$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 40c | 254.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 53c | 251.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 18c | 233.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 225.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 75c | 214.58$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 35c | 198.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 66c | 188.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 30c | 169.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 47c | 167.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 24c | 157.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked Yes | 29c | 157.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 67c | 144.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 141.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 134.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 133.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 125.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 75c | 124.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 39c | 122.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…dec2backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…9145backed No | 46c | 113.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 112.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 36c | 110.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 43c | 110.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…ff3ebacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a3b6backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 80c | 99.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…a0dcbacked Yes | 40c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 31c | 92.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 56c | 86.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 32c | 84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…570dbacked Yes | 67c | 77.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 68c | 77.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 34c | 73.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…e23cbacked No | 70c | 72.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 36c | 69.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…fcf0backed Yes | 41c | 68.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 65c | 68.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 68c | 64.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked No | 68c | 63.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 20c | 60.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 65c | 60.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 64c | 59.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 42c | 58.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 58.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 22c | 57.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 34c | 57.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 55.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 53.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e6…6168backed Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 49.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 60c | 47.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 71c | 46.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 63c | 45.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 45.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 66c | 43.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…fc2fbacked No | 68c | 42.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 34c | 41.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 71c | 41.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 67c | 39.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 36c | 39.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…4351backed Yes | 38c | 38.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 62c | 38.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 77c | 37.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 29c | 37.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 41c | 37.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 31c | 36.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…b55fbacked Yes | 66c | 36.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 68c | 35.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 63c | 34.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.