Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1829270e3ecd641f3f0caf735334eab716ca2b0b6a4ad607020e5f47e6a71c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 788.65$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…c9e4backed Yes | 6c | 612.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 2c | 599.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 21c | 334.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 332.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 11c | 261$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 22c | 226.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 77c | 195.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 23c | 188.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 22c | 187.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed No | 42c | 171.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…640cbacked No | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 149.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 14c | 148.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 17c | 139.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 40c | 137.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 18c | 131.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…72d5backed No | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 40c | 117.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…577abacked No | 41c | 116.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 58c | 115.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 72c | 113.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 69c | 106.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 47c | 105.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 52c | 97.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…74a8backed Yes | 56c | 95.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 63c | 94.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 21c | 91.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…1422backed No | 66c | 84.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 60c | 79.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 18c | 75.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 43c | 67.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 57c | 67.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed No | 43c | 58.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 57.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 55.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 68c | 54.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 53c | 53.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 52c | 53.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 46c | 51.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d78bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…562cbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…a0dcbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Yes | 59c | 49.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 26c | 45.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 45.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 44.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 42c | 44.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 30c | 39.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 59c | 39.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 73c | 36.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…60ddbacked No | 55c | 34.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 43c | 33.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 50c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Yes | 42c | 32.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 60c | 28.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…d270backed No | 57c | 26.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 48 | 89.6%43 W · 5 L | +14.9wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +78%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 56c | 26.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 46c | 25.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 45c | 24.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 72c | 20.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6278backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 72c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 69c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 77c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.