TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,568 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over31c28,128$8,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,585.5125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under71c12,133$8,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over37c11,160$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.982,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under64c7,935$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.781872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c6,895$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.6239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under72c5,466$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.6934343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under71c4,977$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.292,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c4,830$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.391,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under76c4,137$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.218754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under75c3,941$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over1c3,426$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.256547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Over27c3,198$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.495367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c2b…36f4backed Under68c2,635$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over27c2,532$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c2,399$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.0712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under69c2,340$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0442948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c2,155$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.42,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under64c2,142$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.083,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over31c2,103$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7515356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.8522645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over31c1,265$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over36c1,215$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.567145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under52c1,019$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8231448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.953740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c1,001$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.872,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under66c860.85$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.693053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over34c801.21$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.787346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over47c798.67$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3637246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over38c772.27$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.583933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c736.21$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over38c721.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.691,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under65c696.07$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.662958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over39c584.83$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.086023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c526.2$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.793,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under70c512.26$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over27c496.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0717643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Under64c466.52$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c406.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.815,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under50c396.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over38c395.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7732246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under51c386.08$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under65c381.84$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under51c380.76$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5710443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over24c375.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under72c344.77$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.542958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over30c330.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c303.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9616650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under66c300.65$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2215559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Under64c271.56$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Under66c263.07$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Under79c263$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2316746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed Under51c196.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.231241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under76c196.11$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.073372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under51c190.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4614…9cd6backed Under53c185.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under51c184.38$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.353748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under54c183.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.441,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under54c183.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4483350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under69c157.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.978460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under64c154.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c153.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under75c132.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.115143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over32c129.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under63c127.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1824951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over40c118.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over27c117.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over35c113.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6815238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over34c111.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under53c107.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.326056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under50c101.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.851,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under53c99.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.594355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Over49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over45c90.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9152843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under63c89.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8310755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b4…f95fbacked Under62c79.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.393070%21 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Under78c77.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under66c75.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under67c74.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4411542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over48c72.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.696758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over29c70.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Over32c69.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over42c68.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7322756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under57c65.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under62c64.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc68d…1ad1backed Over34c59.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under50c54.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1819348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c99…78fbbacked Over23c51.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5770%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Under66c49.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Under67c47.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.836162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Over35c43.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.142951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe7…ebfebacked Under68c43.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under53c41.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.347553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c38.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.181,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Under66c37.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under70c35.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Under67c35.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over40c34.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.684753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.