Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec0346e9393c6fa5dfba5f7d1fc36d7995b38841375721a71a4bf12790a0ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 3,131$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.39 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,297$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.77 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,261$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.43 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 1,881$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 989.99$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 960.78$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 793.03$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 690.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 370.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 337.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 333.22$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 54c | 321.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 228.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 209.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 107.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…9787backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 103.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 98.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12a…3530backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 86.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 57.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…7029backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 42c | 46.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b057backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…6f99backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 30.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-10.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-12.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-18.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 160.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 161.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.