TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,136 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c22,371$11,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,409.342,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c18,027$9,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.494348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c10,006$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.9189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c9,913$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.3918744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c8,231$4,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.715356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c6,255$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.8584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Under50c5,948$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.752450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over49c5,267$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.0410648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c4,255$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.354,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over51c4,254$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.354143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c3,314$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.1712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Under48c3,266$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.473053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over50c3,121$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.767643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c2,995$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.452,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c2,761$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.721,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over51c2,500$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.9942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over51c2,444$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.138444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over51c2,437$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over51c2,352$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.58946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over52c2,100$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,888$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.425,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Over51c1,790$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.94854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under50c1,470$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c1,301$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.3518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6241030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5725552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd8…f9b9backed Under50c1,090$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,057$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over35c1,026$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.187346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,023$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.751,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2100…14a0backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9812344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4611542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6310846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.63825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over48c958.65$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.156142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under50c769.95$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.984438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under49c712.55$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.410458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c610.61$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Over52c495.63$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.731850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Over50c495.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.815117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c303.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7622250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d2…fb27backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over51c236.89$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.815942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2976…a6d2backed Over53c209.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Over49c204.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9489…37d8backed Under48c201.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1311741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.247653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d8…f8afbacked Under48c192.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4e…d5aabacked Under48c188.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6827…e99dbacked Over53c184.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f68…32dabacked Under48c183.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c182.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2658652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ce…d3ecbacked Over53c171.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed17…ab79backed Over53c170.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c161.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1819958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under52c161.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5630152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…b900backed Over53c161.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over51c159.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.949441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce9…f9f1backed Over53c157.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c154.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.073,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15c…6acfbacked Over53c152.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x970d…6854backed Under48c152.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under50c149.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.846251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c00…7172backed Under48c143.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c142.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6631448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under54c135.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0733445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c7backed Under48c135.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c113$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8c…bb53backed Under48c111.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c109$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Over52c106.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c102.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1362451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Under49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.597045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…5da9backed Over53c100.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1140%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under51c99.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.923551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5632246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under49c98.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8633058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c97.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6852843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over51c97.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.547160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under51c96.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.