TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed17…ab79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$294.33
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.37
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.88
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.46
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.22
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.26
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$68.9
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$23.89
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68.24
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$152.21
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$83.71
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$106.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$51.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$28.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.