TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,613,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,641,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6bc…a49ebacked Yes41c1,455,000$592,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862,462.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No59c271,968$159,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159,167.439159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No59c238,288$139,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,625.064052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No58c238,095$138,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138,095.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c188,474$103,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,563.351,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No60c115,333$69,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,311.1515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c76,428$46,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,159.2387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c58,503$32,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,868.171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No62c52,500$32,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,2901338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c48,073$29,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,075.3252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c33,869$20,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,123.1321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No61c25,593$15,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,493.623050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c21,585$12,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,879.031,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No61c19,656$11,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,891.882737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No62c19,345$11,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,969.642850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No62c12,672$7,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,856.734447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked No59c8,252$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No58c8,000$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6706553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8005156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c7,936$4,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.2762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7251952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No11c5,083$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No60c4,249$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.2415048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3603036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes40c3,400$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0405538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No61c3,333$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.134468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No60c3,306$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No60c3,005$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No61c3,000$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No60c2,690$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No61c2,634$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.3312957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No61c2,113$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.0929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c1,924$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.0628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No61c1,685$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.859747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,662$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.5338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c1,300$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.2231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c1,180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No60c1,049$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2717251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No61c905$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.019553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No58c748.95$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c718$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No60c677.74$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No60c646.26$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2914247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No4c600$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes39c587$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.614841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No60c579.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No60c523.16$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.93568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No61c499.98$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No62c422.58$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c409.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked No62c398.5$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.07650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No63c397.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No12c370.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.931154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c370.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes37c364.25$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.682540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed No60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No59c313.29$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.853748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c286$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No52c277.77$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.237766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c270$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.417756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No59c252.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No62c230$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No62c225$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No51c215.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed No59c202.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No61c202.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.437138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes41c192.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.861323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No62c180$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No62c180$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.68460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No58c171.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.673868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No62c161.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No45c159.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.075322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c158.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked No60c146.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked No61c146.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No59c139.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.922352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No60c135.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2713144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed No61c130$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…cf14backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.49354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.47655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.410556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.49355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.