TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Golden Knights, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$802,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,180 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights55c417,334$229,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,103.8119848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Jets45c190,000$85,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,499.9467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jets45c150,000$67,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,50040351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights55c114,451$62,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,948.0215054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets45c110,000$49,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,299.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Golden Knights54c27,403$14,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,797.6216442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jets45c18,888$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jets45c15,260$6,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,39348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Golden Knights37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55012838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jets46c14,726$6,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,001.161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets45c12,000$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights54c10,910$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.641,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jets72c10,808$7,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.7285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets66c10,541$6,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.951,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Golden Knights55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50030348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Jets45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jets57c9,777$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.6827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights49c8,336$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,071.7461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets45c8,264$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,541.271,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Golden Knights55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Golden Knights54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c8…dd31backed Jets45c5,549$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Jets63c4,910$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Jets46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8313446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden Knights8c4,100$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3233234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c7…fb64backed Golden Knights54c3,455$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72825552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Golden Knights11c3,133$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed Golden Knights55c3,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Golden Knights17c2,650$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.4940152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Golden Knights54c2,333$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.8227547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets58c2,228$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.371,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jets45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Jets45c2,000$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Jets45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1007354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Golden Knights54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9620450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Golden Knights53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights54c1,762$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.0376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets46c1,740$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.644551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Golden Knights54c1,721$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets46c1,675$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights20c1,636$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.732,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights44c1,600$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70336948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jets46c1,507$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.7831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Golden Knights8c1,451$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Jets47c1,288$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.6412355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jets45c1,271$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.5445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets79c1,179$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0785464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jets45c1,123$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.291,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Jets46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4171…d1c3backed Golden Knights4c999.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Golden Knights54c936.33$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.623959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Golden Knights54c895.57$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.6154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Golden Knights11c883.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c0…7e3fbacked Golden Knights55c865.6$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.082650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Golden Knights12c840.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Golden Knights55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets46c788.85$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.571,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1392…70bbbacked Golden Knights55c778.2$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.011952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…aa17backed Golden Knights55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf756…7d3abacked Jets46c740$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…a1f1backed Golden Knights55c717.2$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.463844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…2839backed Golden Knights54c705.65$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Jets46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cf…e53bbacked Jets46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3781154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8ef…e9fabacked Jets46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407b…e0fabacked Golden Knights55c690$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.51250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…cfe3backed Jets46c670$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa0…c519backed Golden Knights54c660$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights53c579.97$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.381,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jets46c568.71$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1586549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Jets46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4829946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4496backed Golden Knights55c536.5$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Golden Knights13c505.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5151949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Jets46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed Golden Knights55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Golden Knights11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights54c497.75$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ef…dceebacked Golden Knights55c478.98$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cba…d15abacked Jets46c478.46$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Golden Knights53c467.55$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.83351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jets45c465.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1926955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…5d9fbacked Golden Knights55c465$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.754151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden Knights54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Jets46c450$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2434850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Jets46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x971d…f598backed Golden Knights55c434.7$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.094434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Jets46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614638.4%56 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jets46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21631851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.