TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,975 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over53c9,345$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.021,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c4,476$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c3,319$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.2351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e54…92e0backed Under47c2,853$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61e…f5f7backed Under47c2,838$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c961.82$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.011,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c787.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.4625449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c642$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3453849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under46c626.07$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0819353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over54c468.5$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.995757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under22c320$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.616235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over78c320$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c305$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c279.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.952,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over53c216$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under47c216$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c186.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.132,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c184.89$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…073ebacked Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe7…7f8abacked Under46c179$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…d1babacked Over54c177.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedff…e3adbacked Over54c177.04$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90c…047fbacked Over54c175.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over36c175$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3368…2016backed Under46c174.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…5124backed Under46c173$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under47c172$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.166346%29 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf481…32e5backed Over54c169.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…f2c7backed Under46c166.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ca…7ce9backed Over54c161$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…fb42backed Under46c161$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…a6bcbacked Over54c159.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…5166backed Over54c157.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…9abdbacked Over54c156.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…329fbacked Under46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8113…0500backed Under46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under47c152$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.567853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9251…cbdbbacked Over54c151.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…797dbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b5…62a7backed Over54c145.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e7…97f5backed Over54c144.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bc…5ee0backed Under46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a84…d076backed Under46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d32…8f73backed Over54c140.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a5…d7bdbacked Over54c138$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…f93cbacked Over54c137.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e28…57debacked Under46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2253…b4f6backed Under46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16a…e7acbacked Over54c134.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c134.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057d…baf0backed Under46c134$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4862…6aedbacked Over54c131.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3670…7640backed Under46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c1…9a59backed Under46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a21…1758backed Under46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…9bf1backed Under46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f55…19a3backed Over54c127.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09eb…6216backed Under46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd36…b0b3backed Under46c126$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…9343backed Over54c124.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84a…cf0bbacked Over54c124.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5740…0ef7backed Over54c120.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under46c89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0615650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under47c89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1734752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c71.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over75c63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.121,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under47c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.334656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c57.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3328340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under47c53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.096145.9%28 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Under50c50.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c6…3520backed Under50c50.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…db7ebacked Under50c50.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under47c45.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under47c44.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3319951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b9…20a7backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under49c39.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.678749.4%43 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.672548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.674955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6710359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe16…5fa2backed Under47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.673060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Under47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under47c37.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.766341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under41c33.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9537857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5214944.3%66 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5238447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5213552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under55c31.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1414963.8%95 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under47c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4315944.7%71 W · 88 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over36c30.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8751343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.427250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Under47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under46c23.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9122750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.