NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeea273154bef1b5b78478a69964ee7a6e7f50b5dc4b331fdfa8bea9809d149c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Golden Knights, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights | 32c | 27,226$8,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,712.37 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Jets | 68c | 20,494$13,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Jets | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 67c | 2,417$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.57 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 32c | 1,588$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.02 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jets | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 67c | 909.13$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Golden Knights | 33c | 851$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Jets | 68c | 776.82$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.58 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Jets | 67c | 776.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 67c | 646.69$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Golden Knights | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Jets | 67c | 469.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights | 32c | 428.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Golden Knights | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Golden Knights | 33c | 318.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Golden Knights | 33c | 263$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Golden Knights | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Golden Knights | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Golden Knights | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 239$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Golden Knights | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 33c | 207$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 192$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Golden Knights | 32c | 156.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Jets | 67c | 147.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Golden Knights | 33c | 147.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Golden Knights | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Golden Knights | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Golden Knights | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets | 67c | 112.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jets | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…3931backed Golden Knights | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…cd69backed Golden Knights | 33c | 84.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jets | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 68.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets | 67c | 63.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Golden Knights | 33c | 62.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Golden Knights | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 32c | 58.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jets | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Golden Knights | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Golden Knights | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Golden Knights | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Golden Knights | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Jets | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 27c | 40.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Jets | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jets | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…f1c4backed Golden Knights | 33c | 32.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jets | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Jets | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Jets | 68c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Jets | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…188dbacked Jets | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jets | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…a1e0backed Jets | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. JetsJets won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.