TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d62…27e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$259.99
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.99
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$395
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$32.46
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.05
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$914.99
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77%+$435
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$234.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$80.6
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$198
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.74
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$61.7
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$158
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$861.44
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,616
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$640.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,239.99
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$339.99
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.1
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$18.32
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.68
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$274.68
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.13
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+30.4%+$582.99
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$324
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$313.97
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+227.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.13
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$307.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$246
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$276
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$41.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25.6%+$48.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.