NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d2f874fdf109f3361304b3e602fb3d3c59a621cadbc9e7b225c9c116422fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Maple Leafs, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 300,000$138,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,000.17 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks | 54c | 150,718$81,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,330.5 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sharks | 54c | 117,010$63,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,994.53 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 32,677$14,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,704.75 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 23,098$10,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,393.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Sharks | 54c | 22,309$12,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,262.21 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…e954backed Sharks | 55c | 21,577$11,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks | 67c | 11,357$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.88 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 10,700$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.98 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 54c | 9,103$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.68 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 8,662$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sharks | 56c | 8,200$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.17 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 55c | 8,064$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.23 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sharks | 55c | 7,067$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.33 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 66c | 6,052$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.4 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sharks | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 54c | 5,688$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 5,398$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,892$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.25 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sharks | 55c | 4,317$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.65 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks | 54c | 4,200$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks | 54c | 4,162$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.45 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sharks | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,047$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sharks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 2,802$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 53c | 2,600$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sharks | 54c | 2,100$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.54 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 2,070$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Sharks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sharks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 1,799$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 52c | 1,641$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.83 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Sharks | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 8c | 1,544$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sharks | 54c | 1,508$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.56 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sharks | 52c | 1,423$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 1,374$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,245$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 14c | 1,238$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sharks | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sharks | 58c | 1,144$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Sharks | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.02 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sharks | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sharks | 54c | 1,077$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Sharks | 54c | 1,077$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.43 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sharks | 55c | 1,025$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.51 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 79c | 1,002$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sharks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…814fbacked Sharks | 54c | 977$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.42 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sharks | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Sharks | 55c | 909$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.05 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…11bcbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 897.13$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 874.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Sharks | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Sharks | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 703.57$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.64 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…79f3backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 698.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Sharks | 54c | 691$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 676.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…9475backed Sharks | 54c | 647$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 54c | 619.96$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Sharks | 55c | 605$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 73c | 600.3$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sharks | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Maple Leafs | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…da9dbacked Sharks | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 68c | 565.65$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Maple Leafs | 12c | 550$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed Sharks | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Sharks | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sharks | 59c | 536.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 526.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Sharks | 54c | 523.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…a3e2backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 503$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Sharks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Sharks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Sharksthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.