World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3295f2c43edab04909fcfcb8e6368f0cf8caa120ebfe92794751273494dbe7d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 4c | 5,732$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 7c | 5,040$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 9c | 4,534$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.47 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6b…5e4fbacked No | 33c | 1,789$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,785$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.46 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…6caebacked No | 33c | 1,782$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…a8c6backed No | 33c | 1,767$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 13c | 1,760$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 1,757$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed No | 5c | 1,720$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…53bcbacked No | 33c | 1,693$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…a001backed Yes | 67c | 890$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…52e4backed Yes | 67c | 886$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…18eabacked Yes | 67c | 886$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…8cd2backed Yes | 67c | 883$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…f9cdbacked Yes | 67c | 874$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…6a5bbacked Yes | 67c | 872$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…9bb4backed Yes | 67c | 871$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…e2a9backed Yes | 67c | 869$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed No | 8c | 799.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 6c | 686.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 3c | 610.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 5c | 521.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 516$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed No | 2c | 490.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 10c | 480.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 5c | 471.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed No | 4c | 463$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 11c | 429.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed No | 6c | 390.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 60c | 330.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 69c | 308.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 12c | 295.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 33c | 289.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 19c | 267.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 29c | 267.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 13c | 246.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 6c | 228.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 14c | 226.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…92f1backed No | 12c | 217$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 31c | 203.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…9552backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed No | 5c | 192.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed No | 5c | 192.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed No | 46c | 182.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 180.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…d367backed No | 12c | 161.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 153.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…5f26backed Yes | 67c | 146.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 135.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…7d2cbacked No | 7c | 134.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 80c | 125.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked No | 9c | 123.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 57c | 123.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…6361backed No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…1a48backed No | 16c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…fa4ebacked No | 21c | 117$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…413dbacked No | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 107.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…d3d2backed No | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 26c | 101.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…7d41backed No | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 54c | 95.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 66c | 94.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…d693backed Yes | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…dee4backed Yes | 60c | 83.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 72.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…711abacked Yes | 62c | 64.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…cda2backed Yes | 63c | 55.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 52.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…1eccbacked Yes | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…6690backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…6c8abacked Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…1cb0backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…8743backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…3478backed Yes | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed No | 29c | 37.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…fd76backed No | 34c | 31.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…6f2cbacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 36cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…e5cdbacked Yes | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…cdd7backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebea…19e4backed No | 40c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 72c | 26.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed Yes | 55c | 26.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Danish People’s Party win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Naleraq win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.