World Politics · resolved market
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f8e4dd1ce271adb39d705b3167329b6c10666bc55e0e0fa8ffd637bb7e4727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,179 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 2c | 3,159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 4c | 2,735$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 1c | 1,325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…0162backed Yes | 8c | 867$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 17c | 867$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…efdebacked Yes | 8c | 814$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…c26dbacked Yes | 8c | 762$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…7e8abacked Yes | 8c | 748$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…0b21backed Yes | 8c | 640$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…cb85backed Yes | 8c | 636$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 11c | 634.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…0bebbacked Yes | 8c | 557$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe986…5d49backed Yes | 8c | 506$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 11c | 454.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 10c | 401.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…17a0backed Yes | 5c | 320.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d2…5033backed Yes | 8c | 314$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…93a0backed Yes | 8c | 265$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…8bd6backed Yes | 10c | 253.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…f7d9backed Yes | 8c | 219$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b87…09fcbacked Yes | 8c | 142$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 21c | 93.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4cdebacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Danish People’s Party win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Yes won
- Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Naleraq win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.