TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$684,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche63c364,984$228,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,344.2467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets38c132,290$49,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,752.081,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jets37c114,205$42,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,255.9951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jets37c72,481$26,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,817.8836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jets37c60,000$22,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,199.8914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche63c50,000$31,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,50048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jets38c25,521$9,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,658.5161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Jets38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.984650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche63c11,812$7,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,368.081,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avalanche62c11,530$7,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,381.41,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…b282backed Jets13c9,970$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.961442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jets38c9,134$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9150049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jets38c8,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets36c8,000$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.941,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jets34c7,820$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.5827448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Avalanche62c6,510$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.81850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Jets0c5,585$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Jets38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jets37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9722747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche63c4,747$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.4733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche62c4,558$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.2151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Jets37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets24c3,792$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.0160337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Jets5c3,598$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8630259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jets37c3,416$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.8359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Avalanche63c3,333$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.335541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Avalanche62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.818544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Avalanche62c2,660$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.83850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4823…a48bbacked Jets38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jets28c2,570$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche61c2,421$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.222,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Avalanche62c2,231$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.8226058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets37c2,222$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.1389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Jets37c2,198$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.2610850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets37c2,070$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.951,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Jets38c2,068$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jets37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jets37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7402958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jets37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Avalanche63c1,903$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.1112152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche80c1,757$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Avalanche63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6294748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets55c1,600$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.257157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Avalanche63c1,527$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Avalanche62c1,499$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.4538849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jets37c1,463$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.391,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ec…81c7backed Jets4c1,347$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jets38c1,342$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Jets38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets37c1,270$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets3c1,156$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bad…614abacked Avalanche63c1,142$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.543650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b4…fd9abacked Avalanche63c1,137$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Jets38c1,111$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.184139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets10c1,093$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ee…a662backed Jets38c1,034$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.921376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+67.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jets23c1,024$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.62,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Avalanche63c1,002$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6233950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Avalanche64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Avalanche62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Avalanche63c978.84$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1728152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche63c961.09$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.951,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jets37c960.21$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2822852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Avalanche63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.387648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Avalanche62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Jets12c850$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10114837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Avalanche63c850$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5178…01d8backed Avalanche63c843$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9115451.3%79 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a11…aab3backed Jets38c842.39$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.111963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f55…2764backed Avalanche63c811$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.071546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jets7c810.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Avalanche63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29622352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…2795backed Avalanche63c754$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.981450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Avalanche63c742$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.545957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…7a20backed Jets39c741.79$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche64c705.35$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.462,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Avalanche63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25932648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9838…2817backed Avalanche63c688.5$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.743345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Jets39c671.89$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Jets38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Avalanche63c623.17$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.575757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Avalanche63c556.68$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.975154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Avalanche63c532.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Avalanche57c530.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2336948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche65c503.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Jets21c502.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2534040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Avalanche62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19014638.4%56 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Jets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Jets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed Jets37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Jets37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18533837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Avalanche62c499.97$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9938555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Avalanche59c487.54$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.488549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Avalanche62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.875100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.