TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c277,810$125,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,014.6220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under55c270,028$148,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,512.7267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.951,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under55c14,500$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5253953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under55c4,320$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9441050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under56c3,478$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.5712152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over45c2,504$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.7640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under55c2,453$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.856656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Under56c2,286$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.714372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,779$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c1,778$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.071,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under56c1,015$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.61,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over46c929.33$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.7328842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c622$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6831848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under56c575$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25320655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c557.88$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0551550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under57c525.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0548545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under55c359.94$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.975350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under56c307.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.527652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under56c270.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.827453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Under74c265$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Over26c247.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.284245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over46c226.3$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.137754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under56c218$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.924158.5%24 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c201.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.462,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under55c200.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over17c198.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7811258.9%66 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c197.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Under58c183.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.483171%22 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7753849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+119.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2415257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over44c161.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.846261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over42c157.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.149141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under56c153.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7514152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c147.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Over46c145.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6748161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c140.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.862,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over46c138.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5813351.1%68 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under57c133.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over43c128.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3710846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…5e7fbacked Under56c124.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under57c123.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9214650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf368…6499backed Over28c122.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over46c101.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2411650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7d…1f1abacked Over12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over46c90.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6413449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over44c84.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under56c80.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.356253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Under56c77.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under56c74.65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2230348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Under57c66.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6729949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over26c45.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Over45c44.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210447.1%49 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over45c44.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1545651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under56c42.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5819951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6628340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215368%104 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under73c39.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under46c36.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.814652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7121253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.238447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.412050.8%61 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under55c30.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.783565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under56c29.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…6a27backed Under70c28.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821c…008ebacked Over46c28.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142d…bf73backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326066.7%40 W · 20 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under69c25.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8819254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.483050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under76c20.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+64%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.