NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb340ce8167c3dc62b900770126d871e6bd00e880658d077e4c718ff060e013de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Avalanche, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 60c | 904.51$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 60c | 781.37$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Avalanche | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Avalanche | 40c | 487.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets | 60c | 427.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Avalanche | 54c | 379.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jets | 53c | 329.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Avalanche | 40c | 211.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jets | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Avalanche | 40c | 126.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Avalanche | 40c | 121$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Avalanche | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jets | 61c | 92.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jets | 62c | 82.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Avalanche | 47c | 77.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 21c | 67.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Jets | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 32c | 62.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Avalanche | 41c | 61.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Avalanche | 40c | 58.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Jets | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Avalanche | 36c | 56.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Jets | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Jets | 46c | 51.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Avalanche | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Avalanche | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jets | 60c | 44.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Jets | 59c | 42.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Jets | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Avalanche | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Avalanche | 40c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Jets | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Jets | 64c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Avalanche | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jets | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Jets | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Jets | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Avalanche | 43c | 31.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jets | 47c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Jets | 58c | 24.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Jets | 47c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Jets | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Jets | 68c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…bf8bbacked Jets | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. JetsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.