TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over56c29,141$16,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,304.3320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under44c13,000$5,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2803339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c11,138$5,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.5251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d3…8478backed Under45c9,300$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfed…db6fbacked Over55c9,300$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,115955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c8,427$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.151,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c6,032$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.7285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c3,199$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.72,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.551,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,696$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.831,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b2…e75fbacked Over1c1,485$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.795947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under46c951.62$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c905$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5153849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c820.9$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.571,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c795$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over55c736.51$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0862346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6711045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under52c608.31$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.317051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c534.22$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c498$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9231848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c417.11$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over55c410$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7912152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under44c409.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0916756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Over53c390.13$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.765950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over58c353$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3628340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over53c282.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9633941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c280.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over5c274$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Under47c219.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.521752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11219651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under42c198.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under42c176.47$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3517553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under47c171.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8618557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c170$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.612536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…ef78backed Under44c167$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb97…b51ebacked Under46c166$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c58…f198backed Under45c165$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.791,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.859950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f5…4937backed Under45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under42c157.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0713253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under52c155.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5530348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c150.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5838849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8187…abd8backed Under45c149$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under42c144.63$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8913549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Under50c140.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.024245.2%19 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e9…e174backed Under45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd79…f926backed Under45c123.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over55c123.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7717761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6422750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.44652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x020e…e3babacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5892444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over21c98.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2111258.9%66 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over57c88.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over52c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.231,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c75.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5986049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…7267backed Over56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc3…afc9backed Over56c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over41c61.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8078…f333backed Over56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0187…3830backed Over56c57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f6…fd6ebacked Over56c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under45c55.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.282552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13c…51edbacked Over56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under44c53.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9519951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35b…a9d4backed Over56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c51.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.831,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under50c50.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4338551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.516746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edf…8441backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf51…4269backed Over56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb237…3ab0backed Over56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2156…1cafbacked Over56c47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over56c44.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Under47c44.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.471361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.393548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b4…fa86backed Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under44c37.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ead…ffc0backed Over56c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b6…1b3cbacked Over56c36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over56c34.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4722759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5450…117abacked Over56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Under42c33.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.344465.9%29 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba55…57b7backed Over56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under47c31.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…812bbacked Over56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under47c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1311955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x866c…946fbacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c27.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5812050.8%61 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.