NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1bb6d59f4e5b1a398b6b9d2b3d1d88a1cc3fda0821688fdd5f869dbb3b9c4dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $634,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $634,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Devils | 53c | 177,292$94,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,775.05 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Flyers | 66c | 99,894$65,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,065.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 34c | 84,066$28,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,572.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 54c | 68,579$36,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,997 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flyers | 47c | 64,000$30,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,920 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Flyers | 46c | 42,875$19,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,152.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Devils | 54c | 30,234$16,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,245.29 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Flyers | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 46c | 29,623$13,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,042.91 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers | 47c | 29,069$13,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,487.58 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 46c | 12,478$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.11 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Devils | 35c | 12,341$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.18 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Devils | 33c | 12,333$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.89 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers | 46c | 12,071$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.19 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flyers | 46c | 11,430$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.2 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Devils | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Devils | 38c | 9,421$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.04 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Devils | 34c | 7,843$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.5 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Devils | 0c | 6,557$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Devils | 26c | 6,469$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.22 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 80c | 6,172$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.43 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 48c | 6,054$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.94 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Devils | 4c | 6,004$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Devils | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Flyers | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Devils | 53c | 5,500$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Flyers | 46c | 5,498$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.83 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…383ebacked Devils | 53c | 5,343$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Flyers | 47c | 5,298$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.73 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flyers | 46c | 5,292$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.61 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Devils | 53c | 5,166$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 46c | 5,036$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flyers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Flyers | 64c | 4,500$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Flyers | 46c | 4,440$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Flyers | 46c | 4,185$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.02 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Flyers | 46c | 3,724$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…570cbacked Flyers | 46c | 3,712$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Devils | 53c | 3,369$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.65 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flyers | 76c | 3,126$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.44 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Devils | 49c | 3,115$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 47c | 3,111$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.69 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Flyers | 47c | 3,075$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.93 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 70c | 3,054$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Flyers | 67c | 3,026$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.51 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Devils | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Flyers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.96 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Flyers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Devils | 12c | 2,988$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.74 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 20c | 2,983$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.81 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…6583backed Devils | 53c | 2,750$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Devils | 2c | 2,705$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 32c | 2,704$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Flyers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Devils | 53c | 2,450$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.33 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Flyers | 67c | 2,352$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Flyers | 46c | 2,151$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.79 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Flyers | 47c | 2,131$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.22 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Flyers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 79c | 2,026$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.19 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Flyers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Flyers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers | 79c | 1,931$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Flyers | 47c | 1,929$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.77 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers | 46c | 1,721$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.18 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 54c | 1,621$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Devils | 54c | 1,535$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.48 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Flyers | 78c | 1,503$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…83f0backed Flyers | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 3c | 1,448$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,427$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.27 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Flyers | 46c | 1,423$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.68 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Flyers | 46c | 1,387$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.96 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Devils | 50c | 1,336$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.85 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…6485backed Flyers | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Devils | 1c | 1,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Flyers | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.64 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.96 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed Flyers | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Flyers | 47c | 1,004$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.13 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flyers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…4802backed Flyers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 50c | 988.95$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 14c | 981.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Devils | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Devils | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 67c | 877.98$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.73 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Devils | 22c | 869.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Devils | 54c | 826.34$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.23 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Devils | 33c | 810.61$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Devilsthis page
- Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.