TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$693,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$731,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights56c120,000$67,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,199.7815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Oilers43c110,088$47,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,750.2967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Golden Knights56c59,997$33,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,598.458657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Golden Knights57c49,233$28,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,062.8136748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers44c43,011$18,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,056.4461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Oilers50c36,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights51c34,411$17,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,382.351,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights57c32,475$18,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,432.7651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oilers44c29,295$12,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,452.1348549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers44c23,069$10,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,916.881,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Oilers45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Oilers44c17,120$7,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.27737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers68c14,120$9,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.251,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Golden Knights51c12,506$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,354.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Golden Knights31c11,878$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.3812835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers44c10,936$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.941,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe028…89bfbacked Oilers44c9,434$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights48c8,763$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,174.8527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Oilers44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights53c7,900$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.8575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Golden Knights56c7,616$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.911850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights44c7,545$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.6489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers44c7,481$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.127244.4%32 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Golden Knights56c7,207$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.926058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Oilers45c6,701$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.3724847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Golden Knights57c6,089$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers44c5,575$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers66c5,382$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.132,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Oilers44c5,001$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.5661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Golden Knights50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Oilers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.993450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Oilers44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.458544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers44c4,298$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.881,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers44c4,200$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers44c4,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.9760249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Oilers44c3,879$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.2486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights56c3,866$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.2645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Golden Knights56c3,497$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.0513446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers44c3,446$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.7679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Oilers49c3,389$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.142356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Oilers44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Oilers49c2,996$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights56c2,900$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Golden Knights53c2,832$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Oilers69c2,807$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.2844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights47c2,397$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.52,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Golden Knights57c2,281$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Oilers44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…3845backed Oilers44c2,260$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Oilers44c2,222$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.324139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Oilers45c2,222$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.289249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Golden Knights57c2,002$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oilers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Oilers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c4…ee30backed Oilers50c1,994$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.751752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Oilers50c1,978$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights56c1,890$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.5714954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Golden Knights46c1,855$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.663754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Golden Knights57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0264748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Oilers64c1,787$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.9852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Golden Knights51c1,738$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Golden Knights54c1,607$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8641952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights1c1,606$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.062174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Golden Knights59c1,575$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.2357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Oilers44c1,509$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.0331848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Oilers66c1,507$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.461861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Oilers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Oilers44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84040152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Golden Knights55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9621048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights48c1,463$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.963,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights56c1,435$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.671,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights52c1,430$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.3595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Oilers71c1,391$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.351080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+78.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Golden Knights1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Oilers48c1,242$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.364148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Golden Knights55c1,221$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6754372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Golden Knights2c1,220$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Oilers41c1,131$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.934553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights55c1,113$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.971,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights51c1,105$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.151,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights56c1,026$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Oilers49c1,017$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.91450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Oilers44c1,008$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6412258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Golden Knights56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Oilers43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Golden Knights1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Oilers49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Oilers44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0925052.8%132 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Oilers44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Oilers44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50440049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628f…0bedbacked Golden Knights57c888$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.164847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2da…836ebacked Golden Knights57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Golden Knights56c856.3$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Golden Knights42c839.04$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.826639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.