TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c12,910$6,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,264.831,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under49c8,282$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.5612152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c6,584$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.8285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under49c5,655$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.321457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c3,485$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.5151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c3,427$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.771,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9927547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c2,668$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.694372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,003$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.51,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,766$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.3479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under48c1,197$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.842847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Under51c945.09$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.912161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over51c868.22$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.236639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over72c818.21$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over49c653.73$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.41,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under49c506$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.944459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c317.75$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.212,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a81…0001backed Under50c307$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa66…9e48backed Under50c307$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa68b…ed15backed Over51c307$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b22…46c2backed Over51c307$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c269.4$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.515952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.57663.2%48 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over41c243.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over52c240.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.533941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7c…b103backed Over50c219.37$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5181…70e8backed Under50c219$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Under49c218.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…c948backed Over50c214.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9067…852fbacked Under50c214$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe13…6f49backed Over50c212.2$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ca…e0a4backed Under50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef9…97bcbacked Over50c210.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660b…93febacked Over50c210.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0312…fe3bbacked Under50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f12…5498backed Under50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae0…af23backed Under50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488d…37cebacked Over50c203.63$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe388…2a2fbacked Under50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9615650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bff…267ebacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under51c197.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cc…e8bdbacked Over50c195.22$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.662447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ea3…684dbacked Under50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee1…c8aabacked Over53c190.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.573542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de2…c268backed Over50c190.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89aa…2bf2backed Under50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d4…7dcdbacked Over50c187.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd7…97d7backed Over50c182.8$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81e…0d68backed Under50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c177.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3762951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under64c155.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under20c153.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7116746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c131.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.421,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d9c…6258backed Under45c124$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c100.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.131,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…1df9backed Over49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Under48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over42c90.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.721,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under51c86.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.317054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under59c85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.151,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2d…a4e7backed Under48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over80c79.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c77.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.261,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over55c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.418557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1227250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under48c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under59c66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.948548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over55c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3533647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under24c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under48c54.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over55c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9533251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c49.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5819951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under54c48.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9218547.6%88 W · 97 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under45c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3651343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under45c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3613552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under49c43.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2a…e7cebacked Under73c41.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefcb…f64abacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9210447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.