World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49131d36d313837145649d4cd7dcebbda31324435586cf8f102ed753a699c02f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $710,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b8…8664backed Yes | 22c | 38,373$8,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,517.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…16b3backed Yes | 15c | 33,300$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed No | 77c | 29,576$22,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,856.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…26bfbacked Yes | 20c | 27,561$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 19c | 25,469$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.77 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…64cabacked Yes | 21c | 19,755$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8615backed Yes | 23c | 18,572$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…b8aebacked Yes | 3c | 16,676$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…c5fdbacked Yes | 17c | 14,994$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.96 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…c471backed Yes | 17c | 12,120$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…eb48backed Yes | 19c | 10,723$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…45bdbacked Yes | 9c | 10,718$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…451cbacked Yes | 24c | 9,108$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…b0cdbacked Yes | 16c | 8,660$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed Yes | 11c | 8,608$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.23 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…55dfbacked Yes | 20c | 7,918$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72a…387dbacked Yes | 17c | 6,711$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…0451backed Yes | 19c | 6,008$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…eb70backed Yes | 2c | 5,932$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ef48backed Yes | 3c | 5,182$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…4fdfbacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…cf87backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…709dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,980$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…6174backed Yes | 21c | 4,677$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 4,272$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.61 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…ae76backed Yes | 22c | 4,162$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4e…f455backed Yes | 22c | 3,984$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 73c | 3,802$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 15c | 3,785$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.45 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 3,773$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.32 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…6691backed Yes | 9c | 3,627$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…2269backed Yes | 9c | 3,575$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed Yes | 27c | 3,533$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 18c | 3,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…8b38backed Yes | 9c | 3,476$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…48babacked Yes | 25c | 3,381$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…1ba1backed Yes | 17c | 3,377$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…cedebacked Yes | 21c | 3,358$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…566fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,285$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…a5febacked Yes | 17c | 3,250$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…a5b4backed Yes | 17c | 2,696$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…4061backed Yes | 18c | 2,602$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…eb7dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5beb…1922backed Yes | 17c | 2,194$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 11c | 2,150$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 79c | 2,082$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.49 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…3678backed Yes | 17c | 2,064$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 76c | 2,036$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…12abbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 24c | 1,856$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…4951backed Yes | 17c | 1,852$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…7710backed Yes | 6c | 1,786$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e850backed Yes | 17c | 1,784$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…431cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,768$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…1e46backed Yes | 28c | 1,610$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…521ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,573$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…12a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,528$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ef…3e53backed Yes | 9c | 1,522$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 20c | 1,499$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.77 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes | 15c | 1,411$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 1,362$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 80c | 1,328$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…fc06backed Yes | 22c | 1,300$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 27c | 1,198$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9b…9248backed Yes | 24c | 1,163$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…17fcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,158$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…d75cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,157$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…e69ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,153$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5563…5be7backed Yes | 30c | 1,141$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…87e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,082$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…2137backed Yes | 26c | 1,067$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fd…c3a0backed Yes | 15c | 1,044$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…51fdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,041$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked Yes | 10c | 1,034$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…51cdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,026$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…8ce7backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 21c | 1,018$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee66…ead4backed Yes | 30c | 983.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 972.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 21c | 938$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…bd54backed Yes | 9c | 907.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…e580backed Yes | 11c | 895.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…984ebacked Yes | 8c | 889$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…c86cbacked Yes | 17c | 882.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…79c6backed Yes | 31c | 859.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 76c | 831.51$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…0c66backed Yes | 18c | 823.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…af86backed Yes | 18c | 822.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…9226backed Yes | 6c | 813.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 799.88$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed No | 75c | 798$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…9924backed Yes | 10c | 789$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed Yes | 7c | 785.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 762.95$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.