TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$888,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,126,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $888,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfffa…864bbacked Yes80c30,347$24,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.741291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick68cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7664…2e50backed No19c30,060$5,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,650.593234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8615backed No20c21,204$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.7870%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0535…0451backed No9c12,523$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.38825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-64.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes80c10,110$8,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.882944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bf…451cbacked No21c9,525$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9410…9160backed No0c8,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-68.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No11c7,955$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.78640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fd…fe19backed No15c7,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.972025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87ff…6632backed No8c6,922$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.62130%0 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c5,591$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.5988448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3525…b0c1backed Yes78c5,301$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Yes75c5,195$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b8…8664backed No18c4,889$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88080%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Yes76c4,337$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes80c4,001$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.762552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c4…4126backed Yes78c4,000$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584a…6317backed Yes76c3,881$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes72c3,486$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.752871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec1c…5452backed No4c3,219$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Yes78c3,094$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.191361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248a…12abbacked No8c3,018$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6180%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed No21c2,832$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.438456%47 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc0e…cf87backed Yes79c2,683$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No23c2,637$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.932255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Yes71c2,632$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…b8aebacked No14c2,572$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36180%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No19c2,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9714240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5beb…1922backed No9c2,487$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedd…58a4backed Yes77c2,319$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.111855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4619…3f91backed Yes77c2,030$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.962360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed No22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.997828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No23c1,981$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.959822.4%22 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes71c1,892$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa41e…984ebacked No6c1,698$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No19c1,669$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1310151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed Yes78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed No20c1,488$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.65341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes71c1,442$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeaf…e56cbacked Yes76c1,285$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes80c1,254$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ca…d326backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes71c1,247$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36434726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x497d…944cbacked No20c1,221$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.433423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes72c1,198$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.122630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes71c1,179$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed Yes70c1,163$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.993745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No14c1,139$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9915650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x271b…8e67backed No10c1,130$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225c…40dcbacked Yes72c1,124$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes80c1,117$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.372770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No18c1,110$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe759…e7cabacked Yes75c1,100$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f3d…457ebacked No17c1,045$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.571625%4 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked No23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23013334.6%46 W · 87 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b3…4dcbbacked Yes77c912.06$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.062759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…da95backed Yes74c868.15$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No5c859.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3616616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…633bbacked No5c776.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…0474backed No17c763.18$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes80c724.79$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4acf…802bbacked No9c711.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No7c684.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.578129.6%24 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes69c677.38$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.313033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e7…e82fbacked Yes75c669$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.623100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…a996backed Yes79c663.11$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e26…4355backed Yes75c633.41$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+123.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No15c633.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3310038%38 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a1d…5048backed No9c574.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d2…1e46backed No19c569.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c99…abafbacked No9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9e…8328backed No9c541.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes79c526.23$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa7…ad18backed Yes79c523.55$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed No15c522.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.351947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No19c516.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1713225%33 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed No13c500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked No13c500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes74c498.02$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6727438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No15c489.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.435860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d4…9b17backed Yes71c480.35$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.551833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked No24c467.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.132532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed No22c466.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.382729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes75c461.34$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3216746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf233…6ab2backed Yes78c459.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d7…a0bcbacked No9c433.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5059…720cbacked No22c431.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.031323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf71b…d9c1backed Yes76c431.28$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No9c430$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.617443.2%32 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…b7fdbacked Yes74c403.61$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes73c400$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1074560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9370…9e88backed Yes72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed No13c398$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes75c385.86$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0310844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee0…1adebacked No28c384.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No31c366.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3937117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Yes80c361$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.439348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…0800backed No23c349.68$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.022128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.