Olympics · resolved market

Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3210deedb646982a378686af85f77b9bb1474dd724acd4de7d3a3c2ecd5a5ce

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Olympics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes	0c	7,804$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	19c	6,220$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.42	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	2c	4,436$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.33	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes	7c	4,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006d…06f8backed Yes	3c	3,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	7c	2,683$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-92.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	3c	2,658$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.84	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	5c	2,414$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.13	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcac9…200bbacked Yes	24c	1,959$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.23	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3b…4af5backed Yes	14c	1,737$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	79c	1,719$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.24	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed Yes	10c	1,658$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.88	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes	1c	1,601$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	13c	1,601$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.62	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes	12c	1,304$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.68	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-56%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f7…b6fbbacked Yes	25c	1,219$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-75%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	6c	1,213$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.28	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…317fbacked Yes	10c	1,177$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Yes	20c	1,170$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.39	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee7…dc3abacked Yes	5c	1,149$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.92	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2907…9c3fbacked Yes	21c	1,090$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes	26c	1,070$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39e…1d88backed Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes	19c	987.16$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	15c	812.5$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.66	244	8.2%20 W · 224 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	3c	786.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ee…cb04backed Yes	23c	700$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	6c	656.12$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	20c	583.58$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.08	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-82.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	14c	536.92$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	55	9.1%5 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e14…3e23backed Yes	23c	520$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.05	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	519.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d6…012cbacked Yes	16c	514.1$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	485.93$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	63	0%0 W · 63 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes	23c	464.75$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x777b…5931backed Yes	19c	443.04$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Yes	23c	440.11$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.04	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d4…9c57backed No	80c	426.12$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…d3ddbacked Yes	25c	405.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fd…e51abacked Yes	26c	387.09$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-55%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…b968backed Yes	16c	384.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1720…2e74backed Yes	5c	380.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…e5c7backed Yes	26c	380.13$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	4c	377.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9381…0390backed Yes	27c	368.45$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.07	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes	7c	350$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843b…ea21backed Yes	29c	350$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes	6c	345.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0451…73fdbacked Yes	31c	322.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	16c	321.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-58%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137a…636dbacked Yes	19c	310.18$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa291…d88dbacked Yes	22c	308.22$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc241…1487backed Yes	10c	305.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b3…cdfbbacked Yes	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…2f11backed Yes	14c	263.31$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	260.72$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637f…554bbacked Yes	20c	255.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadcd…29e9backed Yes	10c	252.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…a510backed Yes	20c	248.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…6afabacked Yes	20c	246.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fee…850abacked Yes	28c	237.56$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.72	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b8…04ecbacked No	78c	223.17$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.17	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	219.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes	24c	211.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe634…94b6backed Yes	7c	183.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f55…71b7backed Yes	23c	177.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	171$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	9c	167.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	42	0%0 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28db…2aaebacked Yes	16c	158.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes	16c	153.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…536ebacked Yes	20c	150$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3773…b9dabacked Yes	27c	150$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes	12c	144.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb5…ae96backed Yes	25c	141.03$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf218…28a6backed Yes	27c	137.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…110fbacked No	76c	136.91$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…d382backed Yes	24c	136.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…f6fdbacked No	73c	135$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5997…76cabacked Yes	25c	133.46$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…d5c2backed Yes	16c	130.86$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22dd…f776backed Yes	14c	130$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68d…fb1dbacked Yes	13c	130$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes	22c	124$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf0…7511backed Yes	12c	115.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Yes	18c	114$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes	16c	113.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked No	74c	110$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.96	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d62…27e0backed No	78c	105.12$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.34	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+80.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaddf…ce76backed Yes	19c	104.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…75b8backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…eb0bbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33db…417abacked No	77c	93.84$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.71	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbece…113abacked Yes	17c	90.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No	78c	87.61$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.03	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes	20c	84.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	12c	82.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60df…e8dbbacked Yes	20c	75.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b0…36ddbacked Yes	19c	73.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
Will Austria win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Canada win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will China win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will France win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Japan win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Netherlands win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Norway win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will Switzerland win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event