Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69f40de69947b17a673c81fddc3c018382059d1d92a7423339cf564b00d4160e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x774f…bc40backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 32c | 10,376$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.2 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 67c | 10,302$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 8c | 9,969$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.91 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 76c | 4,758$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.72 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 67c | 2,636$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,306$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed No | 27c | 2,049$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 20c | 2,003$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,900$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…9c3fbacked No | 29c | 1,887$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4f54backed No | 14c | 1,620$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 65c | 1,288$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…e080backed Yes | 72c | 1,158$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 1,106$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,068$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…8520backed No | 32c | 1,015$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 10c | 987.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 22c | 943.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 69c | 919.83$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 72c | 892.22$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 4c | 876.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 799.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 68c | 767.02$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 67c | 731.07$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…d368backed Yes | 66c | 729.6$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 67c | 724.08$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.1 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 35c | 721.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 34c | 702.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…0390backed No | 25c | 564.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked No | 38c | 551.04$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 77c | 535.76$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 21c | 523.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 67c | 505.8$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…cb04backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 493.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…108ebacked No | 29c | 483.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 68c | 444.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 75c | 428.18$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…3685backed No | 27c | 399.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 4c | 354.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…ac62backed Yes | 70c | 342$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…b275backed No | 32c | 339.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0597…9232backed No | 32c | 315.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…d63fbacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…10e6backed Yes | 68c | 293.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 37c | 280.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…73fdbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed Yes | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…a446backed No | 31c | 265.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e0…75b7backed No | 38c | 263.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…ce76backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked No | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 26c | 214.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 213.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 74c | 181.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Yes | 67c | 180.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…c994backed Yes | 71c | 169.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…7443backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 31c | 166.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 39c | 164$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…b8eabacked No | 32c | 163.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Yes | 71c | 158.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…b9dabacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…b33dbacked Yes | 56c | 147.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes | 69c | 145.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 28c | 143.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…11c9backed Yes | 70c | 142.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…8033backed Yes | 74c | 135.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1554…3e52backed No | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4af…a344backed Yes | 73c | 129.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…52c6backed Yes | 69c | 120.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad8…4998backed No | 25c | 116.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes | 69c | 110.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…7becbacked No | 27c | 110.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…eb0bbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…5ceabacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…ccecbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…4d84backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…b609backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…75b8backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f4…9570backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Yes | 71c | 99.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…dbdebacked No | 29c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…c354backed No | 23c | 88.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked No | 23c | 86.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 81.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 68c | 73.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f1…847ebacked No | 27c | 73.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…efefbacked Yes | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…3bfdbacked Yes | 69c | 72.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.