NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1257585a7b74573e9a6dd8c72cad1b035f0f26184db5e4f96242a9f73b349b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 31,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Flyers | 38c | 9,490$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.44 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 51c | 8,882$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers | 50c | 8,142$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 9c | 6,825$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.07 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 50c | 6,273$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.58 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flyers | 50c | 6,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flyers | 5c | 5,117$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Red Wings | 50c | 4,464$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,174$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.77 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Flyers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Red Wings | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,831$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.98 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,530$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 78c | 3,404$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.66 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 48c | 3,354$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 50c | 3,333$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.37 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Flyers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,888$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 74c | 2,870$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.61 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Red Wings | 51c | 2,751$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 31c | 2,701$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.23 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1b…2740backed Flyers | 48c | 2,448$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Flyers | 50c | 2,436$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…f092backed Flyers | 50c | 2,391$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Flyers | 12c | 2,190$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flyers | 42c | 2,072$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.38 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Flyers | 50c | 2,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.75 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Flyers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,918$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 50c | 1,808$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.98 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Flyers | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Flyers | 45c | 1,767$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.57 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 25c | 1,685$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Flyers | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flyers | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.02 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,416$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.83 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flyers | 20c | 1,407$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Red Wings | 77c | 1,307$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,300$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.12 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Red Wings | 70c | 1,273$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.05 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,263$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.13 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,208$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.03 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…e490backed Flyers | 51c | 1,182$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 20c | 1,170$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,151$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 50c | 1,147$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…c9d2backed Flyers | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Flyers | 3c | 1,088$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Flyers | 33c | 1,011$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.57 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Flyers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flyers | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Flyers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Red Wings | 60c | 922.12$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.05 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flyers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 30c | 763.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Red Wings | 51c | 723.53$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.53 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Flyers | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Red Wings | 50c | 700$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Red Wings | 71c | 676.44$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Flyers | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…7e3fbacked Flyers | 51c | 645$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Flyers | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…814fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 605.42$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Flyers | 38c | 603$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…a3e2backed Red Wings | 50c | 599.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…07b1backed Flyers | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1a…97fbbacked Red Wings | 50c | 574.08$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…37ebbacked Red Wings | 50c | 538.24$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Flyers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Flyers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Flyers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Flyers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flyers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Flyers | 27c | 487.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers | 49c | 467$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Red Wings | 49c | 455.48$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Red Wings | 68c | 450.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…a1f1backed Flyers | 51c | 442$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Flyers | 24c | 425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Flyers | 50c | 424$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Red Wings | 50c | 422.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Flyers | 9c | 411.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Red Wings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 67c | 406.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Flyers | 50c | 402.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Flyers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Red Wings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Flyers | 39c | 392.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed Red Wings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flyers | 28c | 376.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Red Wings | 51c | 374$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Red Wings | 54c | 372.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 349 | 41.3%144 W · 205 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Flyers | 29c | 343.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…4377backed Red Wings | 50c | 331.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Red Wings | 50c | 315.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…1c87backed Red Wings | 50c | 315.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Red Wings | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Flyers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Flyersthis page
- Red Wings vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.